KSE Best Performer in Asia this year - Bloomberg

wadda.chaudhry

Senator (1k+ posts)
The Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index has gained 15 percent this year, making it the best performer in Asia. The gauge has climbed 4.2 percent this month, compared with a 0.4 percent fall in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

We have a pretty fair chance, said Farid Ahmed Khan, the Karachi-based chief executive officer at ABL Asset Management Co. The quantitative criteria we have largely met. On the qualitative criteria based on certain subjective assessments, there is always a doubt. My gut says that we are pretty close.

Pakistan was downgraded to frontier status in December 2008, four months after the Karachi Stock Exchange imposed a rule that caused near total paralysis of market activity for more than three months. The bourse set an index floor to stop a plunge that wiped out $36.9 billion of market value in about four months after then military ruler Pervez Musharraf left office to avoid impeachment.

Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif is seeking to boost economic growth to its fastest pace in more than a decade after achieving stability through an International Monetary Fund loan program that averted an external payments crisis in 2013. The nation also plans to end an energy crisis in two years with the help of $46 billion of planned Chinese investment. Even so, Pakistan may struggle to get much attention as an emerging market.

The Karachi Stock Exchange KSE100 Index has gained 15 percent this year, making it the best performer in Asia. The gauge has climbed 4.2 percent this month, compared with a 0.5 percent decline in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

Frontier Status

Pakistan was downgraded to frontier status in December 2008, four months after the Karachi Stock Exchange imposed a rule that caused near total paralysis of market activity for more than three months. The bourse set an index floor to stop a plunge that wiped out $36.9 billion of market value in about four months after then military ruler Pervez Musharraf left office to avoid impeachment.
MSCIs Frontier Markets Index currently features 16 Pakistani companies that make up about 9 percent of the gauge. Valuations on the nations stocks have fallen over the past year, and an upgrade to emerging-market status could spur a rally, Martinsson said.

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The United Arab Emirates and Qatar -- the last two countries to be promoted to emerging-market status by MSCI -- saw their benchmark share gauges jump by at least a third in the 12 months following their addition in June 2013.
Among the companies MSCI plans to move to its emerging-markets indexes are drug maker Searle Co., which has already gained 51 percent this year, Pakistan Oilfields Ltd., with a 31 percent increase for 2016, and Maple Leaf Cement Factory Ltd., up 29 percent.
Frontier-market funds are likely to keep much of their exposure to Pakistan even if it regained emerging-market status, EFG Hermes said in a report last month.
Pakistans market has been doing so well as valuations are some of the lowest in the region, Arthur Kwong, the Hong Kong-based head of Asia-Pacific equities at BNP Paribas Investment Partners, which oversees about 552 billion euros ($619 billion), said before the MSCI announcement. Basically people are looking for alternatives, finding markets that are less correlated to the U.S. interest-rate cycle and the China macro slowdown. Pakistan, no doubt, is one of the outstanding spots.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...an-stock-market-may-get-extra-boost-from-msci


Alternate Link



http://www.thenews.com.pk/latest/128096-Pakistans-stock-market-dominates-Asia-Bloomberg
 
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:lol:چوہدری صاحب ، تھوڑا انتظار کریں ، بلوم برگ اور کراچی سٹاک مارکیٹ کی ایسی کی تیسی ،،کچھ منٹوں میں ہی یہ دنیا کی بدترین سٹاک مارکیٹ کا اعزاز حاصل کرنے کو ہے
 

drifter

Voter (50+ posts)
مگر بونگے خان اور یوتھیوں کو اس سے کیا غرض
بونگے خان اور یوتھیوں کا تو بس ایک ہی مسلہ ہے

2469a1k.jpg

 

Will_Bite

Prime Minister (20k+ posts)
:lol:چوہدری صاحب ، تھوڑا انتظار کریں ، بلوم برگ اور کراچی سٹاک مارکیٹ کی ایسی کی تیسی ،،کچھ منٹوں میں ہی یہ دنیا کی بدترین سٹاک مارکیٹ کا اعزاز حاصل کرنے کو ہے

I can see that some hi fi PMLN financial gurus have graced this thread for good measure. So let me be the first to ask.
Can you outline ONE economic benefit the country has gained from this so called 'best market in Asia'?

I ask this also in relation to the mid 2000s...(2004-2006) when KSE was the best performing market in Asia for 3 years in a row, and the best performing market in the world for 2 years. Can you please please outline what economic benefits Pakistan's common man gained from those 3 years, and this splendid 1 year?
 

wadda.chaudhry

Senator (1k+ posts)
I can see that some hi fi PMLN financial gurus have graced this thread for good measure. So let me be the first to ask.
Can you outline ONE economic benefit the country has gained from this so called 'best market in Asia'?

I ask this also in relation to the mid 2000s...(2004-2006) when KSE was the best performing market in Asia for 3 years in a row, and the best performing market in the world for 2 years. Can you please please outline what economic benefits Pakistan's common man gained from those 3 years, and this splendid 1 year?


Well in simple terms, every body/organisation/country want to grow their business (Exports).

How they can grow it? By investing more.

How to invest if you dont have capital? Convince others (investors)

By having "Emerging market" status you will attract investors more easily. Since emerging markets are one of the key indicator of global growth.

Our market got "Emerging market" status which means more investment is likely to come to our country.

More investment => More production
More production => Generates more job opportunities
More production => More availability (reduced local prices, low inflation rate)
More production => More exports (Lower import bill. Good for economy)
Better economy => Low deficit
Low deficit => more amount to invest in social sector, new industry, infrastructure etc...

Common man is always indirectly related country's economy in a big picture.
We must appreciate if some indicators are getting better. We should also focus on things that needs more attention.


You question about what common man gained in those 3 years:
Lowest inflation for past 30 years
Low interest rate

What common man gained last year:
Lowest inflation ever
Lowest interest rate ever
 
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Will_Bite

Prime Minister (20k+ posts)
Our market got "Emerging market" status which means more investment is likely to come to our country.

More investment => More production
More production => Generates more job opportunities
More production => More availability (reduced local prices, low inflation rate)
More production => More exports (Lower import bill. Good for economy)
Better economy => Low deficit
Low deficit => more amount to invest in social sector, new industry, infrastructure etc...

Lowest inflation ever
Lowest interest rate ever

You do realize that the only, repeat ONLY reason inflation fell and interest rates fell was because of the drastic drop in the price of oil? Govt saved $7 billion dollars thanks to that, and that resulted in lower inflation figures. Otherwise, the rate of borrowing was enough to have doubled the inflation rate, had oil prices not helped the govt out.

Secondly, FDI has reduced in Pakistan over the past 3 years. It is lower than what it was during Zardari's tenure. That is saying something. Ishaq Dar floated a large figure for FDI for the past year, but what he didnt cite was the figure for outflows. The outflows caused the net FDI inflow to be at the lowest in a long time....50% less than the year before.

Before you start accusing me of not being happy at something that should be good for Pakistan, lets face the fact that Ishaq Dar is a well known number fudger, and he has done it again this year. FT and bloomberg get their stats from the finance ministry, or from the Bureau of statistics, both of which are known to falsify figures in order to take out more loans.

Finally, having spent a decent part of my professional life working in equity markets (KSE included), it is no secret that KSE is a 3 or 4 man show. The KSE 100 index is not indicative of the whole market. It is dominated by 4 or 5 major blue chips, which are driven by the 3 or 4 'men'.

Until and unless corruption is rooted out, mere paper figures will not bring about change in Pakistan.
 

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