PTI can win 62% seats in Punjab surveys told Pml-n

[Hunain Khalid]

Wazir e Azam Imran Khan.. IA

 

[Awan S]

Please search Pakistan Election 2018 in Google and you will get reliable survey results shown by Wikipedia. Overall PML(N) was ahead 12 clear points and now PTI can come may be 4 point more closer. People mind do not change 180 degrees in days. Realistically PTI seats will be as under:

KPK 20
Tribal Areas 4
Islamabad 2
South Punjab 20
Centre & North Punjab 25
Karachi & Sindh 5
Balochistan 0
--------------------
76

 

[c'estmoi]

Please search Pakistan Election 2018 in Google and you will get reliable survey results shown by Wikipedia. Overall PML(N) was ahead 12 clear points and now PTI can come may be 4 point more closer. People mind do not change 180 degrees in days. Realistically PTI seats will be as under:

KPK 20
Tribal Areas 4
Islamabad 2
South Punjab 20
Centre & North Punjab 25
Karachi & Sindh 5
Balochistan 0
--------------------
76

Lol...you call wikipedia reliable? Anyone can update wikipedia.

 

[Awan S]

Lol...you call wikipedia reliable? Anyone can update wikipedia.

I am not calling Wikipedia reliable but Wikipedia has shown surveys from reliable sources which is Gallop and Pulse. Go to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Pakistani_general_election,_2018
Gallop is the most reliable survey in Pakistan; before 2013 election predicted exactly and that time PTI people were laughing on Gallop. These surveys are much reliable than TV surveys which predicts on the basis on mathematical models.

 

[c'estmoi]

I am not calling Wikipedia reliable but Wikipedia has shown surveys from reliable sources which is Gallop and Pulse. Go to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Pakistani_general_election,_2018
Gallop is the most reliable survey in Pakistan; before 2013 election predicted exactly and that time PTI people were laughing on Gallop. These surveys are much reliable than TV surveys which predicts on the basis on mathematical models.

Yes, I know it's from Gallop (pmln backed). Not all of their predictions in 2013 were right. At the moment, we all know PMLN is ahead in central punjab but everywhere else it's PTI. However, a lot can change over the next few weeks. If the surveys in US can go wrong big time then Pakistan as you know is a funny place. We shall see.

 

[Awan S]

Yes, I know it's from Gallop (pmln backed). Not all of their predictions in 2013 were right. At the moment, we all know PMLN is ahead in central Punjab but everywhere else it's PTI. However, a lot can change over the next few weeks. If the surveys in US can go wrong big time then Pakistan as you know is a funny place. We shall see.

PILDAT results were not different from Gallop and some international organizations also verified that Gallup and PILDAT findings are close to their surveys. This time PTI also conducted surveys and I am sure that they must have used Gallop because they are the biggest name in Pakistan for surveys. PML(N) is ahead in central and north Punjab which is about 100 seats of National Assembly and in South Punjab, both are more or less equal. Not all electable from South Punjab went to PTI but there are almost half still in PML(N) and some like Sikandar Bosan running as an independent. Please read Khalid Masood's column yesterday who is PTI supporter and Multan specialist saying PTI can win only 2 seats from Multan. In Dera Ghazi Khan Legharis are still with PML(N). Zulfiqar Khosa has not won any election from DG Khan last few elections and his cousin Amjad Khosa who won last time national assembly seat is again PML(N) candidate. In Jhang both PML(N) and PTI have nothing; Sheikh Waqas and his father are running independent but are PML(N) people actually. Rahim Yar Khan area is still strong for PML(N) as no electable has left PML(N). Another strong PTI person Rai Hassan Nawaz from Sahiwal is disqualified and field is open for everyone there.

 

[c'estmoi]

PILDAT results were not different from Gallop and some international organizations also verified that Gallup and PILDAT findings are close to their surveys. This time PTI also conducted surveys and I am sure that they must have used Gallop because they are the biggest name in Pakistan for surveys. PML(N) is ahead in central and north Punjab which is about 100 seats of National Assembly and in South Punjab, both are more or less equal. Not all electable from South Punjab went to PTI but there are almost half still in PML(N) and some like Sikandar Bosan running as an independent. Please read Khalid Masood's column yesterday who is PTI supporter and Multan specialist saying PTI can win only 2 seats from Multan. In Dera Ghazi Khan Legharis are still with PML(N). Zulfiqar Khosa has not won any election from DG Khan last few elections and his cousin Amjad Khosa who won last time national assembly seat is again PML(N) candidate. In Jhang both PML(N) and PTI have nothing; Sheikh Waqas and his father are running independent but are PML(N) people actually. Rahim Yar Khan area is still strong for PML(N) as no electable has left PML(N). Another strong PTI person Rai Hassan Nawaz from Sahiwal is disqualified and field is open for everyone there.

Well, different people have different analysis. There are many threads on this forum on who is winning from where. One such analysis is below. Someone made this sheet for seat by seat.

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx...=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!ACZ_Khqa9mInIwE

 

[Awan S]

Well, different people have different analysis. There are many threads on this forum on who is winning from where. One such analysis is below. Someone made this sheet for seat by seat.

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx...=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!ACZ_Khqa9mInIwE

There is much difference in individual person's analysis and a professional survey organizations results. Sample size of Gallop was 5000 people in which they do not go randomly to people but take care of every group of people like traders, students, religious, farmers and then use mathematical models to predict the popularity of a party. Economist survey which came in May was very similar to Gallop's May survey results. PILDAT has said that after recent movement of electable to PTI their popularity has increased but not all votes by electable are passed to the new party. The spreadsheet you have provided shows PTI 40 seats in South Punjab when there are 41 seats in total in South Punjab. I will soon prepare a similar spreadsheet and will post here as well.

 

[c'estmoi]

There is much difference in individual person's analysis and a professional survey organizations results. Sample size of Gallop was 5000 people in which they do not go randomly to people but take care of every group of people like traders, students, religious, farmers and then use mathematical models to predict the popularity of a party. Economist survey which came in May was very similar to Gallop's May survey results. PILDAT has said that after recent movement of electable to PTI their popularity has increased but not all votes by electable are passed to the new party. The spreadsheet you have provided shows PTI 40 seats in South Punjab when there are 41 seats in total in South Punjab. I will soon prepare a similar spreadsheet and will post here as well.

Punjab has total 141 NA seats. 46 of them are in South Punjab.

My own opinion is that PTI will get about 70 total from Punjab.

 

[Awan S]

Punjab has total 141 NA seats. 46 of them are in South Punjab.

My own opinion is that PTI will get about 70 total from Punjab.

It depends how you define South Punjab area but still 40 out of 46 is not possible for PTI. Overall 70 seats from Punjab is little over estimation ; once final list of all candidate is out by election commision then it will be easy to analyze seat by seat. Thanks for your opinion and will keep in touch

 

[jaypakistan]

Agar IK pm kabhi ban gaya aur us ne bhi yahi kaam kiye bakio ki tarah toh woh chitrol lagaingy joh yaad rakhay ga woh.

 

[Mirza Marjana]

Ek new khabr ae hy k mandi baha ud din khaaaaaaaaan sb ny ek aur tareekh raqam kr de..

Ek bandy ko ticket dia phr ly lia aur phr dy dia. Aur seat har chuky han wo... Zindababad..

 

[Mirza Marjana]

Ek new khabr ae hy k mandi baha ud din khaaaaaaaaan sb ny ek aur tareekh raqam kr de..

Ek bandy ko ticket dia phr ly lia aur phr dy dia. Aur seat har chuky han wo... Zindababad..

Banda banda gallan kad rya ay.. Sachi muchi de gallan..