imtiazahmed
MPA (400+ posts)
An article has been written by one Mr. Arif Rafiq, PresidentVizier Consulting LLC, published in WPR (World Politics Review) a foreignwebsite with strong credibility. Thearticle is a lengthy one and has given an indepth analysis on Pakistanscurrent affairs.
I have gone through theentire article and found it a balanced analysis.In the concluding part the author has surmisedall the issues with his speculation about near future of Pakistan.I am reproducing that concluding part.But remember, an speculation is just anspeculation.It may happen, it maynot.In my perceived opinion thespeculation sounds logical.But that isalso my personal opinion and not binding on others.
A coup is unlikely in Pakistan, and Raheel Sharif willprobably retire as schedule. But thePanama Papers scandal has proved to be enduring.At the end, its resolution may require PrimeMinister bowing out, using his poor health as an excuse.In other words, come November, we may see notjust one but two Sharifs go, with the retirement of Army Chief and resignationof Prime Minister.
Corruption Scandal and Coup Rumors Put Pakistans Sharif on the Hot Seat
Arif Rafiq Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2016
Last month, as an attempted military putsch was put down in Turkey, posters lining streets across Pakistan beckoned the countrys popular army chief, Gen. Raheel Sharif, to take over in a coup. The posters have since been taken down, and the man responsible for themarrested. But the question still remains: Is the Pakistani military poised to take over?
The last time Pakistan experienced a coup, in October 1999, the context was markedly different from today. At the time, Pakistan was reeling economically, in part due to U.S. sanctions over the countrys May 1998 nuclear tests. Civil-military relations had gone into freefall after the army, without informing the prime minister, launched a reckless incursion into the Kargil region of India-controlled Kashmir, almost precipitating a fourth war between the nuclear-powered neighbors.
Source
I have gone through theentire article and found it a balanced analysis.In the concluding part the author has surmisedall the issues with his speculation about near future of Pakistan.I am reproducing that concluding part.But remember, an speculation is just anspeculation.It may happen, it maynot.In my perceived opinion thespeculation sounds logical.But that isalso my personal opinion and not binding on others.
A coup is unlikely in Pakistan, and Raheel Sharif willprobably retire as schedule. But thePanama Papers scandal has proved to be enduring.At the end, its resolution may require PrimeMinister bowing out, using his poor health as an excuse.In other words, come November, we may see notjust one but two Sharifs go, with the retirement of Army Chief and resignationof Prime Minister.
Corruption Scandal and Coup Rumors Put Pakistans Sharif on the Hot Seat
Arif Rafiq Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2016
Last month, as an attempted military putsch was put down in Turkey, posters lining streets across Pakistan beckoned the countrys popular army chief, Gen. Raheel Sharif, to take over in a coup. The posters have since been taken down, and the man responsible for themarrested. But the question still remains: Is the Pakistani military poised to take over?
The last time Pakistan experienced a coup, in October 1999, the context was markedly different from today. At the time, Pakistan was reeling economically, in part due to U.S. sanctions over the countrys May 1998 nuclear tests. Civil-military relations had gone into freefall after the army, without informing the prime minister, launched a reckless incursion into the Kargil region of India-controlled Kashmir, almost precipitating a fourth war between the nuclear-powered neighbors.
Source
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