Realistic Analysis & Discussion on 2013 Election Possible Results.

J

jhootbolda

Councller (250+ posts)
Everyone is saying PTI is very strong in Central Punjab and North Punjab.
Lets analysis it.
Rawalpindi : 7 seats [PTI only can think for NA53, NA56]

Attock & Chakwal: 3 out of 5, PTI is in fighting position

Jehlum:62,63 very slim chance for PTI

Sargodha: only slim chance ion 66

Khoshab,Mianwali,bhaker: PTI has good chances in these districts


Faiasalabad: 11 seats, on NA83 can fight to some extent. 82,85 very small chnace

Jhang & Chiniot: only on NA86 slim chance [Most of Jhang seat PTI couldn't find any candidates]

TT Singh: PTI has good chance on NA 93

Gujranawala & Hafizabad: on 3 seats PTI is in fighting position

Gujrat & MB din: only on 2seat PTI have slim fight chance

Sailkot & Narowal: on 4 seats PTI have good chance of fight

Lahore: PTI will give tough fight on all seats

Shekhupura: on 4 seats PTI can fight good

Kasoor & Okara: only 4 seats of these districts PTI is in fighting position

Multan & Lodhran: on 5 seats PTI can fight here

Rest of South Punjab: PTI is not in commanding position in south Punjab, slim chances for big win, may be 1-5 seats form south Punjab

I think following will be the breakup of punjab seats:
PTI : 25-30
PML-N: 75-80
PPPP : 25-30
PML-Q: 8-15
 
I

ims786

Politcal Worker (100+ posts)
It will be clear majority .... enough to form a Government comfortable... inshAllah..... will just have to work extra hard........... inshAllah it will be fine... InshAllah.............. AS OUR LEADER SAY AIM HIGH AND WORK HARD... INSHALLAH KAMYABI HUMRAH MUKADER HO GEE....... PTI ZINDABAD.... IMRAN KHAN ZINDA BAD
 
v r imran k

v r imran k

Chief Minister (5k+ posts)
Pinnacle said:
120 Seats Bangladesh say mil sakti hain PTI ko... pakistan say tu bas 40 he hoon gi
Click to expand...


non jeddah sy cleap sweep ak certificate shaha abdullah sy lay ker aaiy gi inshallah non leage clean sweap kay bad certificate lenay seedhi jeddah hi jiay gi..our jeddah ki municplity kl 170 seats non leage shah fahad kay tawan sy jeeet jiay gi


jeddah sy clean sweep nawaz sharif ka kahwab;)
 
J

jhootbolda

Councller (250+ posts)
I think following will be the breakup of punjab seats:
PTI : 25-30
PML-N: 75-80
PPPP : 25-30
PML-Q: 8-15

In Pakistan result can be:

PTI : 40-45
PML-N: 90-95
PPPP : 55-60
PML-Q: 10-15
MQM: 15-18
JUI-F: 3-6
JIT : 4-7
ANP: 4-7

 
C

crazymelon77

Citizen
Thats a good review of the situation. I think PPP is out of the picture for the most part, except for interior Sindh, like u said. However, in my opinion, what people thought about PTI is now actually true for PML-N. They are restricted only to the cities now. I think they will end up with nothing substantial from south or north punjab. Central punjab is where they will manage to get most of their seats...thats the most populated region in punjab, so they will get a decent number of seats. KPK will be a big win for PTI and anything PML-N or PTI get from Sindh and Balochistan will be a bonus for both of them. I do think PTI will do better than PML-N in both these provinces.

disclaimer...this is just my opinion...i'm not an analyst, i haven't been touring the whole of pakistan to get people's opinions on who they might or might not vote for. I will be voting for PTI and hoping they win everywhere :)
 
K

kakajee

Minister (2k+ posts)
jhootbolda said:
Everyone is saying PTI is very strong in Central Punjab and North Punjab.
Lets analysis it.
Rawalpindi : 7 seats [PTI only can think for NA53, NA56]

Attock & Chakwal: 3 out of 5, PTI is in fighting position

Jehlum:62,63 very slim chance for PTI

Sargodha: only slim chance ion 66

Khoshab,Mianwali,bhaker: PTI has good chances in these districts


Faiasalabad: 11 seats, on NA83 can fight to some extent. 82,85 very small chnace

Jhang & Chiniot: only on NA86 slim chance [Most of Jhang seat PTI couldn't find any candidates]

TT Singh: PTI has good chance on NA 93

Gujranawala & Hafizabad: on 3 seats PTI is in fighting position

Gujrat & MB din: only on 2seat PTI have slim fight chance

Sailkot & Narowal: on 4 seats PTI have good chance of fight

Lahore: PTI will give tough fight on all seats

Shekhupura: on 4 seats PTI can fight good

Kasoor & Okara: only 4 seats of these districts PTI is in fighting position

Multan & Lodhran: on 5 seats PTI can fight here

Rest of South Punjab: PTI is not in commanding position in south Punjab, slim chances for big win, may be 1-5 seats form south Punjab

I think following will be the breakup of punjab seats:
PTI : 25-30
PML-N: 75-80
PPPP : 25-30
PML-Q: 8-15
Click to expand...

LoL :D:lol::lol:


Bhai jaan ye 25 seats bhi denain ki kia zaroorat this khairat main? Ye bhi apnay pass rakh lete app.


I know only this thing that these elections are going to be different and historcial from all the previous elections. If turn out goes around 60%, everyone will be schoked at the success of PTI n 11th May

 
Raja Farhan Arif

Raja Farhan Arif

MPA (400+ posts)
punjabimunda1 said:
This proves IK Jhoora and Zardari are already allies and united against N League (thumbsdown)
Click to expand...


Being a realistic we have a competition with Noora league, for this we need support from other parties Voters not party leaders. so all the ex-ppp, ex-q leauge voters (not party) are in our alliance to beat the dumb party of dumb people.
 
darkinsky

darkinsky

Banned
make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

2008 elections!

National Assembly

[TABLE="class: wikitable sortable jquery-tablesorter"]
[TR]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Parties[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Votes[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]%[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Elected seats[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Reserved seats (women)[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Reserved seats (minorities)[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Total[/TH]
[TH="class: headerSort, bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Percentile[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Pakistan Peoples Party[/TD]
[TD]10,606,486[/TD]
[TD]30.6%[/TD]
[TD]97[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]124[/TD]
[TD]
124 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Pakistan Muslim League (N)[/TD]
[TD]6,781,445[/TD]
[TD]19.6%[/TD]
[TD]71[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]91[/TD]
[TD]
91 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Pakistan Muslim League (Q)[/TD]
[TD]7,989,817[/TD]
[TD]23.0%[/TD]
[TD]42[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[TD]
54 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Muttahida Qaumi Movement[/TD]
[TD]2,507,813[/TD]
[TD]7.4%[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]
25 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Awami National Party[/TD]
[TD]700,479[/TD]
[TD]2.0%[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]
13 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal Pakistan
[/TD]
[TD]772,798[/TD]
[TD]2.2%[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]
7 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Pakistan Muslim League (F)[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]
5 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Pakistan Peoples Party (Sherpao)[/TD]
[TD]140,707[/TD]
[TD]0.4%[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]
1 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]National Peoples Party[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]
1 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Balochistan National Party (Awami)[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]
1 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Independents[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]0[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[TD]
18 / 340​
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: left"]Total (turnout 44%)Note: Tehreek-e-Insaf, Jamaat-e-Islami, Jamiat Ulema-e-Pakistan, Tehrik-e-Jafaria Pakistan, Pakistan Awami Tehreek and Jamiat Ahle Hadith did not participate.[/TD]
[TD]34,665,978[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]270[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]340[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 7, align: left"]Source: Election Commission of Pakistan, Adam Carr's Electoral Archive[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Current composition

[TABLE="class: wikitable"]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Affiliation[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Members[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #DD1133"][/TD]
[TD]PPP[/TD]
[TD]121[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #1A7647"][/TD]
[TD]PML(N)[/TD]
[TD]91[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #41AE41"][/TD]
[TD]PML(Q)[/TD]
[TD]54[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #C43F3F"][/TD]
[TD]MQM[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: red"][/TD]
[TD]ANP[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #3F8AC4"][/TD]
[TD]JUI-(F)[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #4CDD4C"][/TD]
[TD]PML (F)[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Others[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #BEBEBE"][/TD]
[TD]Independents[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Total[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]336[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Ruling coalition majority[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]133[/TH]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

  • NOTE: Members of the PPP-led ruling coalition are marked in bold text

Example 2013 elections!

Current composition
 
Last edited:
ح

حکایت جنوں

Guest
Re: make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

darkinsky First post your prediction of 2013 elections please
 
K

Khalid2008

Politcal Worker (100+ posts)
Re: make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

Pti 120
pmln 75
ppp 65
pmlq 23
mqm 12
anp 9
 
J

jhootbolda

Councller (250+ posts)
Re: make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

[TABLE="class: cms_table_wikitable"]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Affiliation[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Members[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #DD1133"][/TD]
[TD]PPP[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #1A7647"][/TD]
[TD]PML(N)[/TD]
[TD]95[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #41AE41"][/TD]
[TD]PML(Q)[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #C43F3F"][/TD]
[TD]MQM[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: red"][/TD]
[TD]ANP[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #3F8AC4"][/TD]
[TD]JUI-(F)[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #4CDD4C"][/TD]
[TD]PTI[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Others[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #BEBEBE"][/TD]
[TD]Independents[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Total[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]272[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"][/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"][/TH]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
 
Last edited:
darkinsky

darkinsky

Banned
Re: make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

look guys use this template

Current composition

Current composition

[TABLE="class: wikitable"]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Affiliation[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]Members[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #DD1133"][/TD]
[TD]PPP[/TD]
[TD]97[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #1A7647"][/TD]
[TD]PML(N)[/TD]
[TD]71[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #41AE41"][/TD]
[TD]PML(Q)[/TD]
[TD]42[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #C43F3F"][/TD]
[TD]MQM[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: red"][/TD]
[TD]ANP[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #3F8AC4"][/TD]
[TD]JUI-(F)[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #4CDD4C"][/TD]
[TD]PML (F)[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Others[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="bgcolor: #BEBEBE"][/TD]
[TD]Independents[/TD]
[TD]18[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Total[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]270[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, colspan: 2, align: center"]Ruling coalition majority[/TH]
[TH="bgcolor: #F2F2F2, align: center"]N/A[/TH]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

please dont use the women seats and reserve seats


directions for using template


  1. copy paste the templat
  2. do your corrections with number of seats which add upto 270 seats
  3. post the template in the reply box
  4. the order should be decending meaning the winning party at the top and then the second best and then third best
 
Last edited:
P

punjabimunda1

Banned
Imran Jhoora +Parvaaz Laahi of Qaatil League+Zardari Dakoo Allaince cant beat N League---Keep dreaming Anyway--11 May ko Zardari Thug,Imran Jhoora aur Parvaaz Laahi moo chupate phirain gay ;)
Raja Farhan Arif said:
Being a realistic we have a competition with Noora league, for this we need support from other parties Voters not party leaders. so all the ex-ppp, ex-q leauge voters (not party) are in our alliance to beat the dumb party of dumb people.
Click to expand...
 
I

ims786

Politcal Worker (100+ posts)
Re: make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

First off total population of Pakistan is 18 karor so how come casted vote in 2008 is 34 karor ...... Go up and check for ur self....as far as pti is concern clean sweep inshAllah
 
darkinsky

darkinsky

Banned
Re: make your perdiction(unbiased): about election results

ims786 said:
First off total population of Pakistan is 18 karor so how come casted vote in 2008 is 34 karor ...... Go up and check for ur self....as far as pti is concern clean sweep inshAllah
Click to expand...

this thread is not for emotional statements, if you cant predict the results please stay off this thread
 
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