For the first time in our nationwide opinion polls, PTI has cracked the 30% ceiling (enough to win in recent elections) - Roshan Pakistan Opinion Poll

[Faheem Imtiaz]

Dont agree with North Punjab results Pothohar region. PTI is hugely popular here just one seat of Sardar Ghulam Abbas (him not contesting) and Shahid Khaqan Abbasi are in doubt!

 

[Young_Blood]

PPP 16% billi k khawaab mein chichrey....

 

[FahadBhatti]

The survey age brackets percentage wont reflect the numbers correctly , also rural and urban must have been 50 percent each. 43 percent of voters are between ages 18 and 35. While 50 percent each in rural.and urban areas will favor pmln more but the age bracket correctiom will give advantage to.pti. Largely this survey can give a fairly good estimate.

 

[najeebahmad]

Pictures are worth 1,000 words which you will see further below, here is the summary.

Summary:
6 opinion polls were done in this year (2018). Below are the result of popularity over all in the country and then detail results were tabulated for each constituency based on populatiry in that constituentcy.
Sample size was between 3 - 4 thousand people from all backgrounds and all regions/villages, see details in the source link.

Latest survey: July 1st , 2018
Percentage popularity & expected seats in the National Assembly.
PTI - 30% nation wide and expected seats - 93 seats
PMLN - 25% nation wide and expected seats - 71 seats
PPP - 16% nation wide and expected seats - 46 seats

NOTE: PTI graph is on the rise and results may change drastically when next survey is done.




Source: https://twitter.com/OpinionRoshan

Hi


Seat projection:

 

[arafay]

momentum is with PTI. The campaign has not even begun. I think PTI can grab 120 seats if they work hard for next 3 weeks.

Reham khan's book fizzled out badly and despite propaganda on mazar issue, PTI is gaining momentum while other parties are losing steam.

Also note that in pakistan first past the post wins the election. this means that if you win a constituency by even 1 vote, all the votes against you count for nothing. This is why the % of seats is different that the votes polled.

 

[iftikharalam]

So, according to this survey, in March, PTI was winning 38? and just in 3 months, it crossed over 90? So, I believe, with only PTI running an election campaign, add at least 10-15 to the mix as well!

And I highly doubt authenticity of Karachi survey! MQM London already boycotted, which means, many hard line MQM voters will not go out for votes. MQM 13? LOL!

 

[Nice2MU]

ایسے سرویز صدارتی انتخابات میں کارآمد ہوتے ہیں جہاں ہر ووٹ شمار ہوتا ہے۔۔۔۔۔۔۔۔ پارلیمانی نظام میں ہر حلقے کی جدا کارگردی ہوتی ہے۔۔۔۔۔۔۔ اور اسمیں پی ٹی آئی بہت آگے ہیں انشاءاللہ۔​

 

[PIND-WALA]

NO WARI WATTA IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THIS ELECTION. STAKEHOLDERS HAVE ALREADY DECIDED TO BURRY THESE TWO RASCALS AND THEIR ILLEGITIMATE SINS (BILLU, BHAGORI etc.)

I think Bhagori will be kept alive for future if needed.

 

[PIND-WALA]

Pictures are worth 1,000 words which you will see further below, here is the summary.

Summary:
6 opinion polls were done in this year (2018). Below are the result of popularity over all in the country and then detail results were tabulated for each constituency based on populatiry in that constituentcy.
Sample size was between 3 - 4 thousand people from all backgrounds and all regions/villages, see details in the source link.

Latest survey: July 1st , 2018
Percentage popularity & expected seats in the National Assembly.
PTI - 30% nation wide and expected seats - 93 seats
PMLN - 25% nation wide and expected seats - 71 seats
PPP - 16% nation wide and expected seats - 46 seats

NOTE: PTI graph is on the rise and results may change drastically when next survey is done.




Source: https://twitter.com/OpinionRoshan

Hi


Seat projection:

Highly doubt that MMA will manage even 1 seat let alone 11..