Basicallhaith this analysis but you did not put some tips of major concern for Pakistan itself if we are dragged intnotoriety -Iran conflict on local front. If we oppose US-Iran strategy and side with Saudi-U.A.E-Israel-Egypt group by sending retired trained persons as mercenaries in Iraq and Syria sectarian conflict as Saudi wants us to and have already paid 1.5 billion dollars as "gift", Iran will side with India and our Northern areas will become hot spot and if India enters into that conflict, our Kashghar-Gawadar rail link and economic corridor plan will be doomed and that is what US wants from us. We must not side with anyone but try to maintain balanced approach.
Modi has a serious disadvantage he has Muslims in India and we have nukes ,he has bad record , he will not attack Pakistan except symbolically . India has become growth rate conscious , they know that the moment western media deliberately says that Pak nukes are aimed at Bangalore ,no one will invest in India . West now wants outsourced business back . If someone would say about kashgar route block that is possible but Aga Khan in my view will not side with either west or Iran .He will favour union of Pakistan .I cannot say the same about his son . Aga khan has seen fate of Christians and yazidis .
Apart from that, killing of PAT people is something very much local problem and a lawful state can not mess it up. Our miscalculation in dealing with Lal Masjid issue inflicted heavy losses to Security Apparatus, civilians and economy ever since. Ignoring PAT concerns may push more youth to Punjabi terrorist outfits to fight against a barbarian state
Hafsa was like this event not a spontaneous issue ,it was agency generated and one aspirant to power wanted the other to kill children and get notoriety and be out of race , the planner succeeded.
PAT is no problem ,they will go peacefully , it is IK and his pashto on hordes keeping a low profile in G sectors with possibly arms which can be the issue .
One more problem is our elite's greed for power at any cost. When they feel weakened in face of deprived and grieving public, they hug terrorist groups for support. PML-N narrowly escaped in pushing Pakistan into sectarian conflict when it show cased the defunct Sipah-e-Sahabah marching in Islamabad.
Agencies combatting terrorism are prime suspect themselves
Nawaz has their support otherwise you would not have seen Nawaz till now as PM.