The political chess in pakistan
The United States of America want a liberal government who can enforce US policies in Pakistan. On the slip of the coin, the Pakistan army also want liberal government with no connections to extremism. With US and Army thinking on the same lines, I don't see Nawaz Sharif as the next prime minister of Pakistan. He is courpt, has ties with extremist elements like lashkar e ghangvi, sipha sahaba and Taliban, has hatred towards PAK army and has soft corner towards redicals. Sherif don't fit the profile of a leader who will be hard of Islamic extremists.
At this point in time, If the US and army has to chose between two devils, they will pick Zardari who has become their unconditional slave and serves both master happily. The fact is Imran Khan is an honest man and a great leader but only a student leader. IK admits that he is the leader of the youth. In reality the truth of the matter is that he can create damage but he can't win the elections. At least for next 10 to 15 years PPP and PMLN will still be the 2 major players as 70 percent of the population is uneducated and Army will be the Guardian.
Up until few months back, Nawaz Sherif was very convinced that he will win two third majority in the next elections. His stupid advisors like chaudhri Nisar and others convinced him that next election will bring sweeping victory. What the fail to tell him was that Punjab is the only playground where they can win. Sindh, Bluchistan and Khaber Pakhtunkwah will not bring anything for the sherif brothers.Zardari also knows this fact, so he informed his masters US and the US showed a grave concern of this fact to the ISI. As army itself don't respect sherif because of past experience( sacking of 3 generals and attempt for the 4th) the plan has been made to break 2 power players of the future government.
In Karachi, MQM has been a major player but in the next election, MQM will compete with PPP, ANP, PTI, Sunni Tahreek and Jamat Islami, the vote bank will be divided and MQM will only be able to gain 10 to 15 seats from present 25 seats.In Punjab, although PPP with have seat adjustment with PMLQ but PLMN will still be a major contender. To solve that, Imran Khan's PTI is chosen, a bomb who's fuse has been lit by the army. A leader who is sentimental, emotional and redical in his ideas. He is told to follow the blue print that was given by ISI in 90's to MQM. Be a party to represent middle class in Punjab and use student power to achieve the result exactly the foot steps of Altaf Hussian in late 80's and early 90's, if you can remember.
Although the American's don't like Imran Khan and his PTI but they know his profile. Their behavioural experts have told them that he fits the profile of sentimental, emotional and nationalist personality. With the ground reality in Punjab, He can't win all seats but he can deseat enough to cause damage. He can be easily used to the advantage for what the US wants to achieve politically in Pakistan.
IK may not win the election but will cause the damage required for PLMN not to form a government in 2013.This way Zardari gang might have another chance to form a government where Blawal Zardari will be elected form Layari( Karachi) and will be elected the Prime Minister from PPP in support with PLMQ, MQM, ANP and PTI for another 5 years.
PPP has just to gaurantee the US and the Army that corruption will be stopped and if not Army will takeover and the game for all the political parties will be over til 2023.Now fit the statement of Imran Khan and see why he is saying that he can join Zardari but not Nawaz Sherif. Mark my words and save this game and see this conventional wisdom comes true.
NOTE: I don't have any affiliation with any political party in Pakistan. These analysis are unbaised and based on the political games played by the players and information reported in the media. I have lived in US and Canada since 1988 and have been a voice of Pakistan for Republican party USA and assisted Members of Parliment in Canada in Understand Pakistan and its public opinions. I am a Proud Pakistani and love my country.
The United States of America want a liberal government who can enforce US policies in Pakistan. On the slip of the coin, the Pakistan army also want liberal government with no connections to extremism. With US and Army thinking on the same lines, I don't see Nawaz Sharif as the next prime minister of Pakistan. He is courpt, has ties with extremist elements like lashkar e ghangvi, sipha sahaba and Taliban, has hatred towards PAK army and has soft corner towards redicals. Sherif don't fit the profile of a leader who will be hard of Islamic extremists.
At this point in time, If the US and army has to chose between two devils, they will pick Zardari who has become their unconditional slave and serves both master happily. The fact is Imran Khan is an honest man and a great leader but only a student leader. IK admits that he is the leader of the youth. In reality the truth of the matter is that he can create damage but he can't win the elections. At least for next 10 to 15 years PPP and PMLN will still be the 2 major players as 70 percent of the population is uneducated and Army will be the Guardian.
Up until few months back, Nawaz Sherif was very convinced that he will win two third majority in the next elections. His stupid advisors like chaudhri Nisar and others convinced him that next election will bring sweeping victory. What the fail to tell him was that Punjab is the only playground where they can win. Sindh, Bluchistan and Khaber Pakhtunkwah will not bring anything for the sherif brothers.Zardari also knows this fact, so he informed his masters US and the US showed a grave concern of this fact to the ISI. As army itself don't respect sherif because of past experience( sacking of 3 generals and attempt for the 4th) the plan has been made to break 2 power players of the future government.
In Karachi, MQM has been a major player but in the next election, MQM will compete with PPP, ANP, PTI, Sunni Tahreek and Jamat Islami, the vote bank will be divided and MQM will only be able to gain 10 to 15 seats from present 25 seats.In Punjab, although PPP with have seat adjustment with PMLQ but PLMN will still be a major contender. To solve that, Imran Khan's PTI is chosen, a bomb who's fuse has been lit by the army. A leader who is sentimental, emotional and redical in his ideas. He is told to follow the blue print that was given by ISI in 90's to MQM. Be a party to represent middle class in Punjab and use student power to achieve the result exactly the foot steps of Altaf Hussian in late 80's and early 90's, if you can remember.
Although the American's don't like Imran Khan and his PTI but they know his profile. Their behavioural experts have told them that he fits the profile of sentimental, emotional and nationalist personality. With the ground reality in Punjab, He can't win all seats but he can deseat enough to cause damage. He can be easily used to the advantage for what the US wants to achieve politically in Pakistan.
IK may not win the election but will cause the damage required for PLMN not to form a government in 2013.This way Zardari gang might have another chance to form a government where Blawal Zardari will be elected form Layari( Karachi) and will be elected the Prime Minister from PPP in support with PLMQ, MQM, ANP and PTI for another 5 years.
PPP has just to gaurantee the US and the Army that corruption will be stopped and if not Army will takeover and the game for all the political parties will be over til 2023.Now fit the statement of Imran Khan and see why he is saying that he can join Zardari but not Nawaz Sherif. Mark my words and save this game and see this conventional wisdom comes true.
NOTE: I don't have any affiliation with any political party in Pakistan. These analysis are unbaised and based on the political games played by the players and information reported in the media. I have lived in US and Canada since 1988 and have been a voice of Pakistan for Republican party USA and assisted Members of Parliment in Canada in Understand Pakistan and its public opinions. I am a Proud Pakistani and love my country.
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