If one were to read into a statement of Imran khan and of Majib ur Rehman Shami it appears that in return of dharnas and going back on call for PM resignation an early election may be in March next year has tentatively been agreed between PTI and PMLN . However to satisfy PPP,and other smaller parties a last ditch effort to save current parliament is still ongoing .
This is big gamble for PTI because it is unlikely that in next election PTI can improve coalition position in KPK but at the same time it risks giving up CM ship of KPK . In Interior Sindh PTI is trying to improve position but PTI government in Sindh is as unlikely as Imran becoming a Jew . So what is left is possible gains in Punjab and Centre , basically it is a election for PM ship of Imran and denying PMLN Punjab ,meaning destroying the only effective sunni led political party of Pakistan.
Indications are that agencies are planning for PTI to gain a few more seats in Sindh which will improve PTI standing in Centre .
In Punjab Imran can get quite a few seats in purely urban areas but over the years the rural class cast out urban constituencies in such a way that by incorporating surrounding rural areas of cities ,the city dweller is forced to elect a rural malik or chaudhary and all power goes back to rural leaders . Without this work of new boundaries for constituencies and clear rural urban demarkation ,requiring possibly a new census , PTI cannot use its urban vote bank . This will be resisted tooth and nail by current parliament as new census is unacceptable to Such based PPP and feudal lords of Punjab as this removes their prepared vote lists used for decades for their benefit .
Imran has indicated his liberal tilt and his prejudice against welloff and monarchial parties , so he can expect stiff opposition and detail ed fundign of Anti Imran smaller parties and groups . Imran for example cannot win in Islamabad without agencies help ,so bored are people especially businessman group inconvenienced by dharnas and loss of income to one third of average .
There is one way to save both parliament and appease PTI without elections which can benefit Imran personally , that is that PMLN and PPP let this parliament continue and next presidential election be called early by direct vote of president and president is given more powers , meaning Imran becomes president , agencies and minor political parties will not like it though as strong president directly elected is country,s need but even army will not like it .
Overall I doubt if PTI will gain much from early elections , and PMLN cannot write its death warrant by removing Nawaz as leader ,whose. Votes is what PMLN is really .
The enemies of Pakistan who were not happy with improving economy and PMLN alliance with Sunni countries have already benefitted tremendously from Dharnas . Of course Agencies will not let Imran become too strong either ,so stalemate of Pakistan is to continue .
There are other ways by which PMLN and PTI can assure that any understanding between them is not sabotaged by third parties so they should take on senior high court and supreme court judiciary ,which will create hurdles to implementation of any understandings , they really need to reduce retirement age of judges to sixty so that judiciary is not able to be used by agencies to sabotage PMLN and PTI understandings , they need to remove overpolticised judges of IHC and SC by this mechanics , Gen .Raheel should also screen agencies and remove people who at foreign behest create national crisis every six months .
I doubt that once Nawaz has resigned in centre and Punjab , the agencies will have any use of PTI or Imran , lets assume they still have some use of Nawaz or Imran after this election seriously gets going .
This is big gamble for PTI because it is unlikely that in next election PTI can improve coalition position in KPK but at the same time it risks giving up CM ship of KPK . In Interior Sindh PTI is trying to improve position but PTI government in Sindh is as unlikely as Imran becoming a Jew . So what is left is possible gains in Punjab and Centre , basically it is a election for PM ship of Imran and denying PMLN Punjab ,meaning destroying the only effective sunni led political party of Pakistan.
Indications are that agencies are planning for PTI to gain a few more seats in Sindh which will improve PTI standing in Centre .
In Punjab Imran can get quite a few seats in purely urban areas but over the years the rural class cast out urban constituencies in such a way that by incorporating surrounding rural areas of cities ,the city dweller is forced to elect a rural malik or chaudhary and all power goes back to rural leaders . Without this work of new boundaries for constituencies and clear rural urban demarkation ,requiring possibly a new census , PTI cannot use its urban vote bank . This will be resisted tooth and nail by current parliament as new census is unacceptable to Such based PPP and feudal lords of Punjab as this removes their prepared vote lists used for decades for their benefit .
Imran has indicated his liberal tilt and his prejudice against welloff and monarchial parties , so he can expect stiff opposition and detail ed fundign of Anti Imran smaller parties and groups . Imran for example cannot win in Islamabad without agencies help ,so bored are people especially businessman group inconvenienced by dharnas and loss of income to one third of average .
There is one way to save both parliament and appease PTI without elections which can benefit Imran personally , that is that PMLN and PPP let this parliament continue and next presidential election be called early by direct vote of president and president is given more powers , meaning Imran becomes president , agencies and minor political parties will not like it though as strong president directly elected is country,s need but even army will not like it .
Overall I doubt if PTI will gain much from early elections , and PMLN cannot write its death warrant by removing Nawaz as leader ,whose. Votes is what PMLN is really .
The enemies of Pakistan who were not happy with improving economy and PMLN alliance with Sunni countries have already benefitted tremendously from Dharnas . Of course Agencies will not let Imran become too strong either ,so stalemate of Pakistan is to continue .
There are other ways by which PMLN and PTI can assure that any understanding between them is not sabotaged by third parties so they should take on senior high court and supreme court judiciary ,which will create hurdles to implementation of any understandings , they really need to reduce retirement age of judges to sixty so that judiciary is not able to be used by agencies to sabotage PMLN and PTI understandings , they need to remove overpolticised judges of IHC and SC by this mechanics , Gen .Raheel should also screen agencies and remove people who at foreign behest create national crisis every six months .
I doubt that once Nawaz has resigned in centre and Punjab , the agencies will have any use of PTI or Imran , lets assume they still have some use of Nawaz or Imran after this election seriously gets going .
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