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The nuclear strategies of both countries emphasise deterrence, but there is a fundamental difference between the two in that Pakistans strategy is aimed at deterring a conventional threat from India...while Indias is aimed at deterring a nuclear one from Pakistan.
Since a conventional confrontation is easier to develop and must almost invariably precede a nuclear one, Pakistans deterrence has to function much more actively than Indias.
This has an impact on force structure, force posture, and the relationship between conventional and nuclear strategies. As the conventional military balance continues to shift in Indias favour, Pakistans reliance on its nuclear capability will increase and so will its effort to lower the nuclear threshold.
Thus Pakistans strategy is likely to emphasize not just first use but early first use in the coming years. The big problem for Pakistan is that not only is the conventional military balance in Indias favour, but so is the nuclear one. Pakistan was able to maintain conventional operational parity with India for many decades, but is now losing ground rapidly. Much the same is going to happen in the nuclear field.
Koithara, Verghese (VADM, IN).
The nuclear strategies of both countries emphasise deterrence, but there is a fundamental difference between the two in that Pakistans strategy is aimed at deterring a conventional threat from India...while Indias is aimed at deterring a nuclear one from Pakistan.
Since a conventional confrontation is easier to develop and must almost invariably precede a nuclear one, Pakistans deterrence has to function much more actively than Indias.
This has an impact on force structure, force posture, and the relationship between conventional and nuclear strategies. As the conventional military balance continues to shift in Indias favour, Pakistans reliance on its nuclear capability will increase and so will its effort to lower the nuclear threshold.
Thus Pakistans strategy is likely to emphasize not just first use but early first use in the coming years. The big problem for Pakistan is that not only is the conventional military balance in Indias favour, but so is the nuclear one. Pakistan was able to maintain conventional operational parity with India for many decades, but is now losing ground rapidly. Much the same is going to happen in the nuclear field.
Koithara, Verghese (VADM, IN).