Human body is a complex system. A person addicted to heroin for years cannot be cured completely by the best doctors in the world, especially not without putting the patient through a few shocks and withdrawal effect. Even the most brilliant attempt is
well - just a shot - because of the chronic systematic damages afflicted to the body. If you want to resolve any challenge, there are two variables that matter the most, the complexity of the challenge and your capacity. Sometimes you might be very capable but the challenge might be just too complex.
Pakistan's economy is no different. It is a country of 220 million people. The country is as much addicted to foreign loans as a heroin addict and for 70 years. The bad national habits are the name of the country, right from population expansion, water usage and breaking signals to tax avoidance and cheating the system. The country effectively borrows money, buys every thing including weapons, cars, computers, electronics, mobiles and palm oil from it without producing anything of value. You can call it Afghanistan on Steroids after 70 years. It's traders sell these items and earn money without paying the taxes. Even the basic crops that it could produce to make some value added products , e.g. cotton have been replaced by sugar from its greedy elite. On top of that the last government took this stupidity to new height by jacking up current account deficit to 20 billion dollars from the 1.5 billions it inherited in 5 years. This deficit was around 12 times more than 5 years before. The deficit incurred did not add productivity in the system , they were just used on making roads and importing everything like hell. The story does not end with the trade, current account deficits and low productivity. The country is bound in high priced electricity and gas contracts that make the productivity even more difficult and ratchets up the fiscal deficit. If that is not enough, the criminal elite participating in corruption and mafia style market manipulation complete the making of the banana state and a death-bed economy.
The systematic damages cannot be corrected by the best of the doctors without introducing a few shocks. The current government has some of the best possible qualified economists available. Hafeez sheikh has a doctorate from Boston university, Reza Baqir has a doctorate from Berkeley, Razzak Dawood is Columbia university and Hammad Azhar has LSE background.
On top of that, these guys have been working in the field as investment advisors, IMF country heads and as industry tycoons.
When I hear a beacon house professor Hafeez Pasha trying to tell the meaning of economics to this team, I wonder what makes him more qualified to do so? May be because her wife was a minister with Shahbaz sharif? Why does not he point out the systematic damages done to the economy during the past 70 years, especially PML N government.
Anyhow, the current economics team might be the best available but it is just an attempt at saving the heroin addict. And when it introduced the first shock to the patient, that resulted in inflation. The citizens of the banana republic did not like it and got against the government. Now the government does not have enough public support to introduce another shock , neither the patient has strength to take it. The government would like to stay in the system, at least to introduce some positive changes to the system while it can. The result however will be the same. Another heroin shot (IMF package when the new government comes).
well - just a shot - because of the chronic systematic damages afflicted to the body. If you want to resolve any challenge, there are two variables that matter the most, the complexity of the challenge and your capacity. Sometimes you might be very capable but the challenge might be just too complex.
Pakistan's economy is no different. It is a country of 220 million people. The country is as much addicted to foreign loans as a heroin addict and for 70 years. The bad national habits are the name of the country, right from population expansion, water usage and breaking signals to tax avoidance and cheating the system. The country effectively borrows money, buys every thing including weapons, cars, computers, electronics, mobiles and palm oil from it without producing anything of value. You can call it Afghanistan on Steroids after 70 years. It's traders sell these items and earn money without paying the taxes. Even the basic crops that it could produce to make some value added products , e.g. cotton have been replaced by sugar from its greedy elite. On top of that the last government took this stupidity to new height by jacking up current account deficit to 20 billion dollars from the 1.5 billions it inherited in 5 years. This deficit was around 12 times more than 5 years before. The deficit incurred did not add productivity in the system , they were just used on making roads and importing everything like hell. The story does not end with the trade, current account deficits and low productivity. The country is bound in high priced electricity and gas contracts that make the productivity even more difficult and ratchets up the fiscal deficit. If that is not enough, the criminal elite participating in corruption and mafia style market manipulation complete the making of the banana state and a death-bed economy.
The systematic damages cannot be corrected by the best of the doctors without introducing a few shocks. The current government has some of the best possible qualified economists available. Hafeez sheikh has a doctorate from Boston university, Reza Baqir has a doctorate from Berkeley, Razzak Dawood is Columbia university and Hammad Azhar has LSE background.
On top of that, these guys have been working in the field as investment advisors, IMF country heads and as industry tycoons.
When I hear a beacon house professor Hafeez Pasha trying to tell the meaning of economics to this team, I wonder what makes him more qualified to do so? May be because her wife was a minister with Shahbaz sharif? Why does not he point out the systematic damages done to the economy during the past 70 years, especially PML N government.
Anyhow, the current economics team might be the best available but it is just an attempt at saving the heroin addict. And when it introduced the first shock to the patient, that resulted in inflation. The citizens of the banana republic did not like it and got against the government. Now the government does not have enough public support to introduce another shock , neither the patient has strength to take it. The government would like to stay in the system, at least to introduce some positive changes to the system while it can. The result however will be the same. Another heroin shot (IMF package when the new government comes).