How many Punjab assembly seats pti can from each district , Fair probability

Faheem Imtiaz

MPA (400+ posts)
what about NA seat here , Shahaid Khaqqan is strong candidate whats about his oopsite candidate ,??
Sadaqat Abbasi himself i beleive is not very strong but PTI have strong vote bank + Sadaqat Abbasi's Panel is more strong then Khaqan Abbasi with Ghulam Murtaza Satti on MPA seat on PTI ticket. However i still think Khaqan Abbasi will win this seat ATM!
 

Mirza Marjana

Senator (1k+ posts)
what about NA seat here , Shahaid Khaqqan is strong candidate whats about his oopsite candidate ,??
there are three factors as i heard from people . i went to kahota last week and i learnt that.. PTI ka Satti and abbasi combination is good ,, mean murtaza on punjab assemple and sadaqat abbasi on NA.. second one koi Raja sagheer independent candidate hy,,, wo be election lar ra hy again mohammad ali of noooon..

murre city sy koi religious candidate be election lar ra hy wo be noon ka vote toty ga,,,,,,,,,, despite all these factor,, khaqan is still strong candidate
 

Faheem Imtiaz

MPA (400+ posts)
The thing which can really hurt Khaqan Abbasi in this constituency is under new delimitations Kallar Sayedan city + four more UCs are included in this Halqa. This area has strong PTI vote bank + Opposit vote all belong to CH Nisar Ali Khan. As per my information Ch Nisar Ali Khan's voter have shifted towards PTI for the moment. There is very good chance PTI can get around 20 to 30 thousand lead from that area. If they successfully did that it will be very hard for Khaqan Abbasi to recover as Murree and other UCs they are mostly neck to neck. It will all depend on Sadaqat Abbasi exploits this opportunity which at the moment he is failing to do!
 

Faheem Imtiaz

MPA (400+ posts)
This halqa has also huge support base of Golra Shareef and they just follow what they say. Usually all this vote went to Khaqan Abbasi as Golra Shareef almost always supported PMLN but this time this vote is going to PTI, also Peer of Blawra supporting PTI he has very strong following in this are as well. All in all if there would have been a hard working candidate he could have won. Khaqan Abbasi is hard worker but same can not be said about sadaqat abbasi. Most of things are going in his favor though!
 

Mirza Marjana

Senator (1k+ posts)
This halqa has also huge support base of Golra Shareef and they just follow what they say. Usually all this vote went to Khaqan Abbasi as Golra Shareef almost always supported PMLN but this time this vote is going to PTI, also Peer of Blawra supporting PTI he has very strong following in this are as well. All in all if there would have been a hard working candidate he could have won. Khaqan Abbasi is hard worker but same can not be said about sadaqat abbasi. Most of things are going in his favor though!
baba haroooon sadaqat abbasi ko ticket deny py tap gya tha last election man ,, i think us ny koi candidate suggest kia tha,, kon ho skta hy wo
 
The thing which can really hurt Khaqan Abbasi in this constituency is under new delimitations Kallar Sayedan city + four more UCs are included in this Halqa. This area has strong PTI vote bank + Opposit vote all belong to CH Nisar Ali Khan. As per my information Ch Nisar Ali Khan's voter have shifted towards PTI for the moment. There is very good chance PTI can get around 20 to 30 thousand lead from that area. If they successfully did that it will be very hard for Khaqan Abbasi to recover as Murree and other UCs they are mostly neck to neck. It will all depend on Sadaqat Abbasi exploits this opportunity which at the moment he is failing to do!

Yes agreed , Actually PTI also have internal rifts same like PMLN , Murtaza satti is not supporting Sadaqat Abbasi in kahuta and Sadaqat is also failing till now to exploits Kalar sayadean UC advantage, So sadaqat is only working in Murree and kotlisattian which is not enough to defeat Khaqan Abbasi , He needs to focus on kahuta and kalar sayeda , He is also financially weak too so lets see hope for best.....
 

Faheem Imtiaz

MPA (400+ posts)
baba haroooon sadaqat abbasi ko ticket deny py tap gya tha last election man ,, i think us ny koi candidate suggest kia tha,, kon ho skta hy wo

Baba Haroon ki baato pa men zyada ghor nahe karta wo aksar jazbati baaten zyada karta ha or us k tajziya aksar research sa pak e hotay hen. Lekin mere zati khayal men Murtaza Satti zyada behtr umeedwar tha. Meri maloomat k mutabiq khan Ticket bhe Murtaza Satti ko daina chahta tha lekin Sadaqat Abbasi na independent larna ka indiya da diya. Phir Murtaza Satti na khud Qurbani di ha.
 

Mirza Marjana

Senator (1k+ posts)
Yes agreed , Actually PTI also have internal rifts same like PMLN , Murtaza satti is not supporting Sadaqat Abbasi in kahuta and Sadaqat is also failing till now to exploits Kalar sayadean UC advantage, So sadaqat is only working in Murree and kotlisattian which is not enough to defeat Khaqan Abbasi , He needs to focus on kahuta and kalar sayeda , He is also financially weak too so lets see hope for best.....
right person,, name sy lag ra hy ........ jo ground halat janta hy,, yar i think hum ye seat ne jeet skty,,,,,,,,,,
 

Faheem Imtiaz

MPA (400+ posts)
Yes agreed , Actually PTI also have internal rifts same like PMLN , Murtaza satti is not supporting Sadaqat Abbasi in kahuta and Sadaqat is also failing till now to exploits Kalar sayadean UC advantage, So sadaqat is only working in Murree and kotlisattian which is not enough to defeat Khaqan Abbasi , He needs to focus on kahuta and kalar sayeda , He is also financially weak too so lets see hope for best.....
I beleive Sadaqat Abbasi politically itna aqal mand admi nahe ha k wo ye opportunity daikh raha ha! Agar wo Golra Shareef, Blawra of Kallar Sayedan ko cash karva laita sahe to jeet jaata lekin kar nahe raha wo.
 
This halqa has also huge support base of Golra Shareef and they just follow what they say. Usually all this vote went to Khaqan Abbasi as Golra Shareef almost always supported PMLN but this time this vote is going to PTI, also Peer of Blawra supporting PTI he has very strong following in this are as well. All in all if there would have been a hard working candidate he could have won. Khaqan Abbasi is hard worker but same can not be said about sadaqat abbasi. Most of things are going in his favor though!
Yes Khaqqan is very much in comfortable situation in this halqa......

about Provincial seat... Murre peoples votes moslty decide this seat bcz they have bigger number of votes compare to rival kotlisattian..... 2ndly there is local independent candidate and TLYR candidate as well in kotlisattin they also damage PTI vote in kotlisattian....... Ashfaq sarwar PMLN candidate is very much strong in last election but now he got good competition so let see ....
 

Faheem Imtiaz

MPA (400+ posts)
Yes Khaqqan is very much in comfortable situation in this halqa......

about Provincial seat... Murre peoples votes moslty decide this seat bcz they have bigger number of votes compare to rival kotlisattian..... 2ndly there is local independent candidate and TLYR candidate as well in kotlisattin they also damage PTI vote in kotlisattian....... Ashfaq sarwar PMLN candidate is very much strong in last election but now he got good competition so let see ....
Provincial Seat Murtaza Satti wali to PTI ki confirm ha dusri pa muqabla sakht ha!
 
Baba Haroon ki baato pa men zyada ghor nahe karta wo aksar jazbati baaten zyada karta ha or us k tajziya aksar research sa pak e hotay hen. Lekin mere zati khayal men Murtaza Satti zyada behtr umeedwar tha. Meri maloomat k mutabiq khan Ticket bhe Murtaza Satti ko daina chahta tha lekin Sadaqat Abbasi na independent larna ka indiya da diya. Phir Murtaza Satti na khud Qurbani di ha.

in my opinion Murtaza satti also don,t have much vote bank bcz he fought 3 election from there and his popularity went down with each election reason is Gap between him and public , he is not awami man.... But still i believe he was batter candidate than sadaqat abbasi by looking his election campaign , very poor..... PTI will loose this seat bcz of poor candidate....
 
there are three factors as i heard from people . i went to kahota last week and i learnt that.. PTI ka Satti and abbasi combination is good ,, mean murtaza on punjab assemple and sadaqat abbasi on NA.. second one koi Raja sagheer independent candidate hy,,, wo be election lar ra hy again mohammad ali of noooon..

murre city sy koi religious candidate be election lar ra hy wo be noon ka vote toty ga,,,,,,,,,, despite all these factor,, khaqan is still strong candidate

Murre sy TLYR ka candiate satti hy koe wo sattiyu ke vote lay ga which will heart PTI .... koe Independet b khara hy kotlisattin sy wo b PTI ke vote torr raha hy .....so tight situation frm there ....above all PMLN candiate ashfaq sarwar is very strong.... wo election k last days my passla chalata hy or votes khareedta hy logu ge so very tight let see
 

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