Who will win in Peshawar & Mianwali?? - Will PTI retain its seats?? Prediction

ACCA.COM

Councller (250+ posts)
At PP-44 (Daud Khel, Pae Khel, Swans, Chakrhala , Namal etc) , Surely PTI is getting good margin but in PP-43 (Kalabagh, Tabisar, Kot Chandna, Kamar Masani, Esakhel ) PTI is weak due to internal fights...
 

delta_paki

MPA (400+ posts)
I just came across this article on the web, according to which the expected outcome will be something like this:
PTI will get approx. 5 NA seats while, PMLN, 6 & PPP, MQM and PkMAP 1 each.
In Punjab PTI will get 3, PMLN, 8, PPP, 2 and PML-Q 1.
In KPK PTI can win 2 while JUI-F will get the remaining 2.
In Sindh, PPP and MQM will get 2 apiece.
While Balochistan will give 1 seat to PML-N, JUI-F and an Independent candidate each.

The article doesn't describe any details but it seems like all these numbers are statistically driven from the past couple of elections. Well statistics go down the drain when you have the variability of the the turn-out but still the outcome predicted in this article seems quite plausible.
 

chargootay

MPA (400+ posts)
My relatives in NA1 say ANP is stronger this team and PTI might lose NA1. (reasons will be discussed after the results)

Swabi Seat vacated by Asad Qaiser might go to JUIF

NA48 to PTI

2 PK seats to JUIF.

So overall, PTI loses more and JUIF gets a couple...

I hope and wish PTI retains all the seats.. seems difficult though.
A very strong propaganda against PTI by the axis of evil :(
 

miafridi

Prime Minister (20k+ posts)
My relatives in NA1 say ANP is stronger this team and PTI might lose NA1. (reasons will be discussed after the results)

Swabi Seat vacated by Asad Qaiser might go to JUIF

NA48 to PTI

2 PK seats to JUIF.

So overall, PTI loses more and JUIF gets a couple...

I hope and wish PTI retains all the seats.. seems difficult though.
A very strong propaganda against PTI by the axis of evil :(

I still think that PTI is strong in NA-1..
 

chargootay

MPA (400+ posts)
sir ji wrong selection of candidate.
Intra-party indiscipline
party ticket not given according to the wishes of the grassroot workers
not trying to resolve the conflict within the party until the 20th of August when Asad qaiser, yusafzai etc went to talk to samad mursalin. (samad asked them to address the workers. if they are convinced, samad would sit in favour of gul bacha...pti leaders didnt want to talk infront of the workers and instead insisted on talkin in pvt to samad...)
Samad was offered Senator or Mayor's ticker from Peshawar which he had rejected.

earlier that day when IK was in peshawar, samad wanted to meet IK in CM sect. but Samad was not allowed to meet him and instead made to wait in the waiting room and when IK left, he was let out.

SOlutions:

This is an eye opener for PTI.
They must not take KPK for granted.
The leaders need to be with the masses and general public. I know this is not the job of a parliamentarian but If you wanted to win the by-elections, it should have been done.

Rest, everything else is on papers and inside the meeting rooms... Public dont see whats in papers... they value who attends their weddings and funerals.




Others from the area ... kindly add more plaese
 

Joker

Minister (2k+ posts)
Yeah we lost.:( Congrates to you on Mianwali.
نہ رو میرا دوست - کچھ نہیں ہوتا - زندگی میں ہار جیت ہوتی رہتی ہے- آج بلور کے سینما میں گندی فلم کا شو فری ہے ، جاؤ موج مستی کرو
 

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