Every time I start a new thread on the topic of Economy of Pakistan, this website suggests previous economic thread.. almost all started by me.. Guys, can I have a partner in crime here? Help me out..
Anyways, watch this
Its a summary of the report found at
http://www.sbp.org.pk/reports/quarterly/fy12/Third/qtr-index-eng.htm
If you think this report looks bad, wait for the Q4 report to come out... yeah.. Q3 would look like a paradise!
And watch this one
Plus from their own report, here's what SBP is saying
"the centralbank remained a net seller of US$ 828.8 million in the FX market during Jul-Mar FY12"
http://www.sbp.org.pk/reports/quarterly/fy12/Third/Ch-5.pdf pg4
The State Bank is trying to PROP UP the rupee. This produces structural deficits in the economy and further weakening the Rupee. SBP is continuing to artificially support the rupee using its reserves. Its like trying to continue to drive a BMW after you have lost ur job.... Will make u go bankrupt!
Another way to understand is if you went to Germany and borrowed Euro to do some shopping. Came back to Pakistan where you earn in Rupees while continuing to pay off the Shopping bill in Euro. Every time Rupee depreciates, bigger and bigger portion of your income starts going to pay off your European Shopping spree. With this in mind, I will share an article which will back my argument
State Bank of Pakistan's net income is being eaten because of its "net seller" of US dollar position.
http://tribune.com.pk/story/399086/mcleod-road-mammoth-state-bank-profits-down-10-over-two-years/22/
ISLAMABAD: Despite rising government borrowing and high interest rates, profits at the State Bank of Pakistan have been declining for the last two years, largely due to a decline in non-interest income, declining by 10% over two years.
In an audit report of the central banks financial statements up to fiscal year 2011, auditors observed that the SBPs net income declined, even though interest income kept rising. Net profits in 2011 declined by 3.1% even though interest income [the biggest source of revenue] went up 16.4%, observed report issued by the Auditor General of Pakistans office.
Despite the drop, the State Bank of Pakistan remains the single most profitable entity in the country public or private with a net income totalling Rs181 billion in 2011, down 3.1% from the Rs187 billion it earned in 2010 and 10% from the Rs202 billion it earned in 2009.
The main source of the central banks revenues is the monetisation of the national debt: the government asks the SBP to simply print money and then buy up treasury bills issued by the finance ministry to cover the federal governments fiscal deficit. The government then pays interest on those bills that the State Bank bought simply by printing money, virtually out of thin air, a process that economists agree is highly inflationary.
In other words, higher profitability at the State Bank is a bad thing and lower profitability is a good thing. Higher profitability means that the government is financing too much of its deficit by printing money and causing inflation, which means higher interest rates, and thus higher income for the SBP. Yet in a twisted financial loop, the government also uses the State Banks profits to lower its fiscal deficit, by as much as 1% of the total size of the economy every year.
The auditors, however, appear to have drawn attention to the fact that it is not interest income that is declining, but rather non-interest income, on things such as foreign currency dealings, where the State Banks income is down almost 84% to just Rs1.9 billion, compared to Rs11.7 billion two years ago. The State Banks interest payments on its own debts also rose 38% over that same period to Rs13.3 billion, also contributing to the decline in net income.
These are not healthy signs for the profitability of the Bank and required corrective measures, observed the audit department.
In 2011, the SBPs gross income rose by Rs30.4 billion, or 16.4% to Rs216 billion. However, the banks operating income the profits its gains from such heads as the Banking Services Corporation and other activities went from a profit of Rs10.5 billion in 2010 to a loss of Rs11.6 billion in 2011.
The report may well become fodder for other government organisations such as the finance ministry to begin criticising the central bank which has always had a structure independent of the rest of the government for what are perceived to be higher benefits for its employees. Insiders at the SBP, however, argue that the central bank needs to lure talent away from the lucrative financial services sector that it regulates, and hence needs higher salaries and benefit packages.
The central banks leverage ratio the ratio of companys debt to its equity is also worsening. The leverage ratio has deteriorated by 1.6%, according to the audit report. The audit also warned the central bank to make efforts for minimizing its credit risk over non-interest bearing financial instruments.
Published in The Express Tribune, June 26[SUP]th[/SUP], 2012.
