Cat is out of the bag.........

rajakhanmd

Senator (1k+ posts)
The difference between fiction and reality? Fiction has to make sense, fellow Baltimorean Tom Clancy once said. The biggest headline in the world today reads like a chapter straight from one of his spy novels:
U.S. Identifies Vast Riches of Minerals in Afghanistan, trumpets The New York Times this morning.
Turns out theres iron, copper, cobalt, gold and other highly sought after metals all over the place in Afghanistan, says a Pentagon report. Theres a boatloadearly estimates guess $1 trillion worth.
Afghanistan could eventually be transformed into one of the most important mining centers in the world, the Times paraphrased the government report, which later called Afghanistan the Saudi Arabia of lithium.
Of course, such a discovery will completely transform Afghanistans $12 billion annual economy. Luckily for them, in this fantastic coincidence, there are highly industrialized invaders hanging around, ready and willing to help this ravaged nation.
The Pentagon task force has already started trying to help the Afghans set up a system to deal with mineral development, the Times adds.
So A War on Terror extended far too long for the sake of precious resources, like oil in Iraq, and now precious metals in Afghanistan? That certainly doesnt make much sense, at least from an ethical point of view But as Clancy noted, it doesnt have to.
Were not the first to try to develop Afghanistans massive metal deposits. Just last year, the Times report continues, Afghanistans minister of mines was accused by American officials of accepting a $30 million bribe to award China the rights to develop its copper mine.
Heh, those bribing bastards! Dont they know whos in charge over there? The minister has since been replaced, the Times concluded, displaying a crafty use of passive voice.
Just as public surveys reveal the American people are losing faith in continuing the interminable war in Afghanistan, writes Byron King, who has been on this story for quite some time, we read news of a years-old major mineral assessment that may be worth a trillion dollars.
Oh, the benefits of a timely press release, eh?
Still, the fact is that the resources are there in Afghanistan. In an unintended, unplanned outgrowth of the war, were watching the game change. Were seeing the roots of resource competition during the next century.
As this story unfolds, well see a scramble for mineral concessions, and the critical question of control over development, extraction and the proceeds of sale.
The bottom line in Afghanistan is that Western companies are competing with Chinese firms for access to riches, in the backyard of the ancient Persian, Russian and Indian Empires and these rocky mountains happen to be some of the most remote and dangerous real estate on the planet.
The stakes are immense, in terms of total resources and the costs of development.
It drives home the point that if you want resources, you have to go where the right rocks are. You have to deal with whatever is the situation on the ground whether its a war in the Hindu Kush or drilling wells under thousands of feet of seawater, in the case of deep-water oil.
(This seems like an appropriate moment to note that Iran has the third largest proven reserves of crude oil in the world, according to the CIA, and also controls the Strait of Hormuz, through which 40% of the worlds shipped oil passes every day.)
By Ian Mathias




http://wallstreetpit.com/31790-the-war-for-minerals-in-afghanistan
 

rajakhanmd

Senator (1k+ posts)
The trillion-dollar Afghan battlefield

Afghanistan just got its worst news since the Soviet invasion three decades ago: American geologists have charted as much as a trillion dollars' worth of mineral deposits in that tormented landscape.
Up to now, Afghanistan's internal factions and neighbors have been fighting over worthless dirt, Allah and opium. Assigning the battlefield a trillion-dollar value is not a prescription for reconciliation. Expect "The Beverly Hillbillies" scripted by Satan.
Even were Afghanistan at peace, its endemic corruption would generate a grabocracy -- a Nigeria, not a Norway. Throw in inherited hatreds and the appetites of its neighbors, and Afghanistan may end up more like eastern Congo, a playground for state-sanctioned murderers and looters.

Beyond reportedly vast deposits of rare minerals (lithium, etc.) essential to popular technologies, there's copper, cobalt, iron and gold in them thar hills. Afghanistan never before offered so much to fight over.
Instead of making life easier for our troops, the finds will make it harder to disengage. Washington will succumb to arguments that we need to preserve access to these strategic resources, even though it's far cheaper to buy them than to prolong a military protectorate. (US firms won't get the good contracts, anyway.)
We already provide strategic security for Chinese mining interests in Afghanistan -- having been chumped by the Karzai government out of the gate. Now the Chinese will arrive in hordes, bribing and smiling.
The Russians will also take a renewed interest. And the Iranians have already crept into western Afghanistan (where key deposits are located). The potential for violence spilling across more borders -- including into unstable Central Asia -- will be enormous.
But the gravest danger of an all-out shootin' war comes from Pakistan and India. Until the revelation of these finds, Islamabad (which continues to support the Afghan Taliban) just wanted strategic depth in the event of a war with New Delhi, while India had engaged in Afganistan just to frustrate Pakistan.
Now Pakistan, a country in which the powerful have already stolen all there is to steal, will develop delusions of grandeur about controlling Afghanistan's subsurface wealth. And India's swelling economy will develop a sudden hunger for Afghan minerals.
China will side with Pakistan, exploiting Islamabad as a proxy. Iran may line up with China and Pakistan, as well. Pakistan will turn up the heat in Kashmir. The "Great Game" of yore is about to become Monopoly played with corpses.
Afghanistan's one hope was that, eventually, outsiders would leave it alone. That hope's gone now. Development of a full-blown mining industry will take decades, but that just means decades of violent competition.
Back in the happy-face United States, optimists insist that these Afghan finds will fund good government, security and development. Ain't gonna happen. A country living on aid and opium won't go Harvard Business School when megawealth floods in (the opium trade won't disappear, either). And the environmental damage will put BP to shame.
Meanwhile, we can't manage the war we've got. The CIA, at least, keeps killing al Qaeda terrorists across the border in Pakistan. But our troops, in the words of one fighter on the ground, just "patrol, patrol and patrol, making themselves IED magnets."
Afghan National Army training is showing progress, but President Hamid Karzai just dumped his two most pro-American ministers, and our ballyhooed Kandahar offensive -- delayed yet again -- has begun to seem like "Brigadoon" with body armor.
It's high time to ask ourselves the basic question about Afghanistan that we've avoided since we made the decision to stay: What do we get out of it?
"Chinese access to strategic minerals" is not an adequate answer.


Read more: http://www.nypost.com/p/news/opinio...tlefield_QDmmh2KMwAV52bVvjhKgjN#ixzz0qyOnvuhn