عام انتخابات 2018 کی سروے رپورٹ۔۔۔شاہد خان بلوچ

[Shahid Khan Baloch]

اب چونکہ الیکشن میں صرف ایک ہفتے کا وقت بچا ہے تو صورتحال کافی حد تک واضح ہو چکی ہے۔ اگر کوئی بڑا واقع نہ ہوا تو حالات کا دھارا اب اگلے سات دن بھی ایسے ہی چلے گا۔ آج یعنی الیکشن سے سات دن پہلے میں نے بطور سیاست کے طالبعلم کے اپنے محدود عقل اور علم کے مطابق الیکشن 2018 کے ممکنہ نتایج کی تفصلی لسٹ بنائی ہے۔ میں نے اپنی تحقیقی رپورٹ کے نتایج مرتب کرتے ہوئے پوری کوشش کی ہے کہ پی ٹی آئی کے لئے اپنا سافٹ کارنر حقایق کے بیچ نہ آئے لیکن چونکہ یہ ایک قدرتی عمل ہے اس لئے اسے مکمل طور پر نظر انداز نہیں کیا جا سکتا۔
میرے اندازے کے مطابق تمام جماعتوں کی نشتوں کی پوزیشن کچھ اس طرح بنے گی۔

پی ٹی آئی۔۔۔۔۔127 (کے پی اور فاٹا 30، اسلام آباد 3، پنجاب 85، اندرون سندھ 3۔ کراچی 3، بلوچستان 3)
مسلم لیگ ن۔۔۔۔44 (کے پی اور فاٹا 4، پنجاب 39، کراچی 1)
پیپلز پارٹی۔۔۔ 37 (کے پی اور فاٹا 3، پنجاب 3، اندرون سندھ 25، کراچی 5، بلوچستان 1)
ایم ایم اے۔۔۔ 12 (کے پی اور فاٹا 10، بلوچستان 2)
ایم کیو ایم۔۔۔8 (حیدر آباد 1، کراچی 7)
جی ڈی اے۔۔۔ 9
آزاد۔۔۔ 15
باقی جماعتیں 20
(تفصیلی لسٹ میں اپنے اپنے حلقے کے متعلق پیشین گوئی دیکھ کر اپنی رائے کا اظہار کریں۔۔۔ شکریہ)
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تحریر: شاہد خان بلوچ

https://www.facebook.com/shaahidkhaanbaaloch/posts/369896436871475

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[umer]

InshAllah asa hi ho ga ya is jesa kuch

 

[omerbest]

PTI and PSP will be a big surprise in Karachi.. PPP has no chance from there..
I recon, PPP will get around 20 to 25 from whole Pakistan.. PTI can get easily 140 seats from Pakistan, all depends if they can get 85 to 90 from Punjab, as you have mentioned.. MMA will be finished in KPK and Fata..

Thats my opinion.. Thanks

 

[v r imran k]

how get ppp 03 seats from punjab and how get 05 seats ppp in karachi ...instead of pti pti pauilarty better then ppp in karachi u give only 03 seats to pti ..the big question MMA get 11 seats how? MMA if get NA 35 bannu then u can say he can get 11 seats but bannu imran khan postion is better then akram khan durrani latest surveys shows

iam not agree pti get 85 seats in punjab 141 i think pti get 75 seats in punjab nt 85 seats may be swing marjin last time tilt to pti

GDA 15 SEATS have good position and 18 seats one two one fight with ppp in sindh

mqm now marginalize psp also a big force in Karachi u give 8 seats i give 05 seats psp 03 seats mqm two seats also Hyderabad psp strong position

 

[Shahid Khan Baloch]

how get ppp 03 seats from punjab and how get 05 seats ppp in karachi ...instead of pti pti pauilarty better then ppp in karachi u give only 03 seats to pti ..the big question MMA get 11 seats how? MMA if get NA 35 bannu then u can say he can get 11 seats but bannu imran khan postion is better then akram khan durrani latest surveys shows

iam not agree pti get 85 seats in punjab 141 i think pti get 75 seats in punjab nt 85 seats may be swing marjin last time tilt to pti

GDA 15 SEATS have good position and 18 seats one two one fight with ppp in sindh

mqm now marginalize psp also a big force in Karachi u give 8 seats i give 05 seats psp 03 seats mqm two seats also Hyderabad psp strong position

ppp is very strong in malir and Layari. In punjab they can win two seats from Rahim Yar Khan and one from Multan (Yousuf Raza Gillani)

 

[Sn Sunny]

if we observe in this election survey on T.V
In 2013 pti voter still supporting in 2018
In 2013 many pmln voter change mind in 2018

 

[Arfeen]

I see that more and more people are optimistic about chances of PTI govt. in Punjab, Federal govt. of PTI will be very unstable if Punjab is under PMLn. I wish PTI wins in Punjab too. Non-PPP govt. in Sindh is still not possible, though this time opposition will be very strong in Sindh.

 

[EngrHaseebShahid]

ppp is very strong in malir and Layari. In punjab they can win two seats from Rahim Yar Khan and one from Multan (Yousuf Raza Gillani)

Brother where is detailed sheet?

 

[FahadBhatti]

85 seats out of 141 in punjab? Not gonna happen

 

[v r imran k]

ppp is very strong in malir and Layari. In punjab they can win two seats from Rahim Yar Khan and one from Multan (Yousuf Raza Gillani)

in liyari who told u ppp is very strong in liyari latest survey showing pti is very strong position NA 246 liyari dont want to listen bialllwal bhutto due to liayri operation i know personally there my friend in mousa lain liyari he is blouch working with in karachi he told me in liyari people mood is very change now if u see geo news report about liyari faheen khan geo news reporter also tell abdul shakoor shad postion is much much better the ppp

malir seats still not report but usual its going to ppp

rahim yar khan ppp wining candidate already join pti no chance in rahim yar khan for ppp

NA 158 MULTAN YOUSAF RAZA GILLANI SEATS STILL ppp no chance there one three way fight ppp non leak and pti multan pti is upper hand

 

[kakajee]

Ap ne NA59 bhi PMLN ko dedi hain.

Mery Nahin khayal Noon league ye halqa jeeta gi. It is between Ch. Nisar and Ghulam Sarwar Khan and i think Sarwar Khan will win it

 

[Birdie101]

85 seats out of 141 in punjab? Not gonna happen

He is on drugs, Lol.

 

[Birdie101]

Even when Bhutto died, PML-N was able to win over 70+ seats from Punjab.It can only get better, Not worse.

 

[Pakistan2017]

Better work on WHO are counting the votes in Polling Stations.

 

[Sohailwadakhan]

is nay ghar main baioth kar bnaue hay

 

[malik1c]

The one i don't agree with is MMA = 10 at best MMA is 2 - 3 seats from KPK and Fata

 

[Rana Javed Iqbal Khan]

I think PPP can win 5-8 seats from Punjab. PPP is better placed at NA 177 ( Mukhdum Shahab Uddin) , 178 ( Mukhdum Mustafa ) & 180 ( Mukhdum Murtaza) in Rahim Yar Khan NA 174 in Bahawalpur ( Mukhdum Syed Ali Hassan Gillani., NA 158 , Multan ( Yousaf Raza Gillani), NA 114- Jhang ( Syed Fasial Saleh Hayat). From Mazaffar Garh NA 183 ( Malik Raza Rubbani Khar & NA 186- Dawood Jatoi. There can be a one surprise for whole Pakistan. ie, defeat of Jamshod dasti from Mehr Irshaad of PPP from NA 182. Mukhdum Khusro Bukhtiar is on losing end due to sugarcane issue.
MMA can win maximum 6 seats from KPK. However, it can clinch two additionlal seats from Baluchistan ( Pashtoon belt) earlier were won by PKMP-
Achgzai party

 

[Iqbal'shahen]

I personally know the present conditions of NA-110 and NA-134, quite accurate predictions, NA-110 to PTI, NA-134 to PMLN

 

[Dantheman]

Even when Bhutto died, PML-N was able to win over 70+ seats from Punjab.It can only get better, Not worse.

PPP has lost vote bank in Punjab a long time ago, don’t compare ppp with pti. I agree that pmln will get more than 50 seats from Punjab though.