Bilal Raza
Prime Minister (20k+ posts)
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PMLN will lose General Election 2018 - Haroon ur Rashid predicts
- Thread starter Bilal Raza
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Pakistan2017
Chief Minister (5k+ posts)
اگر الیکشن کمیشن، اسٹیبلشمنٹ اور سپریم کورٹ نے مل کر دھاندلی نہیں کی تو
najeebahmad
MPA (400+ posts)
My prediction about 2018 elections:
1. All surveys shows PTI is leading in KPK and expected to win majority government in KPK.
2. All adjacent areas along with KPK like Pindi, Taxila, Attock, Mianwali etc will also belong to PTI.
3. Pashtoon favour PTI because of good performance in KPK. Karachi has 25% Pashtoon population which will also favour PTI.
4. Lower Punjab/ with Saraiki punjab belong to PTI.
Battle is on for Upper and middle Punjab where PMLN is strong and IK can change the direction with his share fast election campaign like the way he did that in 2013. IK turned around the campaign in 17 days. In 2013 IK handicap was non-electables which had no idea how to fight the election.
My estimate of PTI National Assembly win's in 2018 elections:
1. KPK: 30 seats out of 39
2. Punjab: 70 seats out of 141 (Saraiki Punjab: 30 out of 49 seats, Upper/Middle Punjab: 40 out of 91 seats)
3. Sindh: 5 seats out 61 (4 seats in Karachi, 1 in Sindh), Grand Democratic Alliance with 5 seats which are in alliance with PTI.
4. Baluchistan: 0 seats but they come to whoever make government in the centre.
Summary of PTI seats:
National Assembly: 105 out of 272, after election independents and Balochistan will join PTI making it majority government.
KPK Assembly: 76 out of 99 - PTI to form majority Government
Punjab Assembly: 148 out of 297 - PTI to form Government with independents joining PTI
Sindh Assembly: 10 out of 130 seats - PPP to form government and PTI with alliance to form opposition
Baluchistan Assembly: 0 seats and with IK tough stance on corruption many in provincial assembly may not join PTI.
1. All surveys shows PTI is leading in KPK and expected to win majority government in KPK.
2. All adjacent areas along with KPK like Pindi, Taxila, Attock, Mianwali etc will also belong to PTI.
3. Pashtoon favour PTI because of good performance in KPK. Karachi has 25% Pashtoon population which will also favour PTI.
4. Lower Punjab/ with Saraiki punjab belong to PTI.
Battle is on for Upper and middle Punjab where PMLN is strong and IK can change the direction with his share fast election campaign like the way he did that in 2013. IK turned around the campaign in 17 days. In 2013 IK handicap was non-electables which had no idea how to fight the election.
My estimate of PTI National Assembly win's in 2018 elections:
1. KPK: 30 seats out of 39
2. Punjab: 70 seats out of 141 (Saraiki Punjab: 30 out of 49 seats, Upper/Middle Punjab: 40 out of 91 seats)
3. Sindh: 5 seats out 61 (4 seats in Karachi, 1 in Sindh), Grand Democratic Alliance with 5 seats which are in alliance with PTI.
4. Baluchistan: 0 seats but they come to whoever make government in the centre.
Summary of PTI seats:
National Assembly: 105 out of 272, after election independents and Balochistan will join PTI making it majority government.
KPK Assembly: 76 out of 99 - PTI to form majority Government
Punjab Assembly: 148 out of 297 - PTI to form Government with independents joining PTI
Sindh Assembly: 10 out of 130 seats - PPP to form government and PTI with alliance to form opposition
Baluchistan Assembly: 0 seats and with IK tough stance on corruption many in provincial assembly may not join PTI.
Anonymous Paki
Chief Minister (5k+ posts)
Haroon sb is one of the best and most balanced analysts on TV
Golden pearl
Citizen
Everything depend on last cards which pppp pmln and Pti will open near election because our nation always go to follow truck ki batti
ARSHAD2011
Minister (2k+ posts)
:p:p:p:p:p:p:p Are you sure ????
ARSHAD2011
Minister (2k+ posts)
will lost ??? NO they already lost.
The situation was same in 2013, when all electable choor join PML N and now same all same choor's join to PTI.. that is the big sign.
