Siasat.pk Forums
  1. #1

    The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity







    The result of the Punjab provincial assembly by-elections in the city of Chakwal once again confirmed that Sharif and his party PML-N has not lost its vote bank. The margin of victory was around 30 thousand votes. It was expected that PML-N would retain the seat but no one expected such a wide margin victory for the PML-N.

    Sharif’s vote bank seems to have increased despite the fact that he is being targeted allegedly by the establishment and their political allies. Even the ongoing media trial of his corruption and a vicious blasphemy campaign against him and his party has not dented his votes nor is his popularity in the province of Punjab diminishing.

    The opposition has tried almost everything from agitation to a media trial and seeking help from invisible forces, but nothing has worked in their favour until now. Sharif’s popularity and his ability to retain his vote bank is a mystery to many critics. Normally, a sitting government always pays the price for incumbency in general elections, but watching the results of the surveys conducted by different think tanks and with the results of the by-elections where Sharif managed to defeat his opponents convincingly, it is safe to say that Sharif’s party is going to win the next general election.

    The development work carried out by the younger Sharif in Punjab is more than enough to grab the urban voters and the art of constituency politics of the elder Sharif is going to win them the seats in rural areas.

    Sharif is a shrewd politician and unlike his opponent Imran Khan he has a cool head on his shoulders. Historically, Sharif always shows his card very late and always surprises his enemies with a stalemate. His main opponent Khan is an emotional person who does not want to wait. Khan’s untime political moves and his co-operation with the establishment and extremists like Samiul Haq has badly damaged his reputation in the Province of Punjab. If this was not enough, his choice of words and habit of abusing anyone who does not stand with him, did the rest of it.

    Sharif, unlike the other politicians in the country, realised very early that the dynamics of politics have changed and clearly read the writing on the wall that the voters’ mindset had changed also. They are no longer interested in giving votes just for the sake of party affiliations. He also read the global events well and realised that the conservative style of politics and a hostile narrative towards neighbours are not acceptable in modern times.

    So, Sharif focused his attention on the mega development projects, like the metro bus services in the cities of Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Lahore and Multan, the orange train in Lahore, the network of roads and motorways, and he actually also did well to end the electricity crisis. In addition to this, Sharif changed his style of politics and from a traditional conservative political party he turned PML-N into a liberal and anti-establishment political force.

    Sharif, unlike Bhutto, did not close all his options and let his younger brother perform the role of good cop. So the elder Sharif being a bad cop criticizes the political role of the establishment and judiciary and continues to build a narrative against these forces and institutions, while the younger Sharif plays the good cop role and keeps on praising the establishment and often sides with them. This policy of good cop/bad cop has actually given Sharif the unique opportunity to enjoy both the government and opposition role.

    On the other hand, Zardari did not read the changing narrative of politics well and as a result his party the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) is limited only to the province of rural Sindh. Contrary to that, Khan grabbed the attention of the urban population mainly youth and became a threat to Sharif, but his lack of patience and his persistence with an old style of politics dependent on the establishment and religious vote bank made his position very weak. His agitation politics was also not welcomed by the majority of voters of Punjab and the results of almost every by poll is evidence.

    Had Khan been able to focus on making mega projects like Sharif, he would have been in a very good position to become the next prime minister of Pakistan. Unfortunately, he wasted this opportunity by not creating any mega project of development and wasted all his energies on toppling Sharif. This has given Sharif an edge, as with almost zero load shedding, and with the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), health reforms, motorways and metro bus under his belt, he has a lot to show as an indication of his good performance.

    The wave of sympathy from Punjab after his disqualification is also in his favour. He has regained the lost place among the youth by bringing Maryam Nawaz to the helm of affairs. She actually smartly spread the message and narrative of her father and party and through the effective use of social and electronic media, grabbed a lot of support from the urban middle class youth of Punjab.

    Sharif’s good relations with international global players also kept him in the good books of the international establishment and he has surely maneuvered the chessboard with their help, especially when he was almost done and dusted with the help of the judiciary by the establishment. If Sharif somehow survives until the next general elections he will become the first politician in the history of the country to be toppled thrice and still managed to come to power for the fourth time.

    Politics right now seems to all be about Sharif. Even though he is not the prime minister anymore, is facing a trial and judiciary hostile towards him, and does not have any support from the establishment, he still somehow manages to keep himself at the center of politics. This actually shows that Khan and Zardari are inept and are not able to understand the fact that the more they focus on Sharif the more powerful and relevant he becomes.

    In politics sometimes you need criticism and agitation against you to keep your vote bank intact. Sharif did the same thing, he let all his rivals play their cards, he let them agitate and lock down the cities. He knew that the more his rivals agitate the more they will be exposed as the forces against democracy and development. Khan fell into the trap much earlier while Zardari joined the boat very late only in the hope of getting a little sympathy of the establishment so at least he can save the province of Sindh in the next general elections.

    Khan and Zardari’s weak position can also be understood by the fact they are counting on a non-political entity and religious cleric Tahirul Qadri to topple the PML-N government. They both know it is their last chance and if somehow they are not able to topple the government and get an early election it will be almost impossible to defeat Sharif and his party in the coming elections.

    Who will have the last laugh, only time will tell, but right now it is Sharif who is gaining from each conspiracy and move played by the establishment and his political opponents. It is the art of understanding the right time and right place to counter the moves from opponents and to focus on development projects that has turned the tables in favour of Sharif, and he seems to be a force that cannot be defeated through the power of the ballot.



    Source


    Last edited by Waseem; 14-Jan-2018 at 03:03 PM.
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  2. #2

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    یہ لو یار انصافیو اصلی بات لے کر آیا ہوں تم لوگوں کے لئے ٢٠١٨ کے الیکشن کے متعلق - اس کو غور سے پڑھو

    دراصل یہ جو عمران ہے نا یہ تم لوگوں کو بہت دھوکہ دیتا ہے -
    تم لوگوں کو اتنا اوپر چڑھا دیتا ہے اور پھر زور سے منہ کے بل پٹاکنی دیتا ہے - مجھے ڈر ہے کہ اس باری اس نے تم لوگوں کے ساتھ پہلے سے زیادہ ظلم کرنا ہے - خود اس نے پیرنی کے بعد کوئی مریدنی کر لینی ہے اور تم لوگ مایوسی اور فرسٹریشن میں اکیلے بھٹکتے رہو گے


    خدارا میرے بھائیو اور بہنو اس باری اس کی نہ سننا اور حقیقت کو سامنے رکھنا ورنہ تم لوگوں کو بہت دکھ ہو گا بہت تکلیف ہو گی
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  3. #3

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    قیمے والے نان، انتہا درجے کی جہالت۔۔۔اور بھڑوا گیری


    Last edited by 3rd_Umpire; 14-Jan-2018 at 11:23 AM.
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  4. #4

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Sab galat, Geo k baad ab Nawa-e-Waqt k boycott k waqt ha, Pteecher Khan ne pichlay char saloon mein itnay talway chatay hein k ab tau jeetna os k haq ban gia ha, kal h tau survey hua k voh number one popular leader ha, election agar haar b gia tau kia, haq tau usi k ha k voh jitna chahey pteecherian karey!!!
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  5. #5

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    یار تھرڈ امپائر میں نے ابھی منت کی تھی تمہاری کہ عمران خان کی نہ سننا - تم تو یار ان پیسے کے ٹٹوں پر ہی گر گئے
    او بھائی میرے یہ تو چینل کے سیٹھوں کے کتے ہیں - کل کسی اور چینل میں چلے جایں گے - عمران خان پر بھونکنے لگیں گے



    Originally Posted by 3rd_Umpire View Post
    قیمے والے نان، انتہا درجے کی جہالت۔۔۔اور بھڑوا گیری


    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  6. #6

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Originally Posted by Rajarawal111 View Post
    یار تھرڈ امپائر میں نے ابھی منت کی تھی تمہاری کہ عمران خان کی نہ سننا - تم تو یار ان پیسے کے ٹٹوں پر ہی گر گئے
    او بھائی میرے یہ تو چینل کے سیٹھوں کے کتے ہیں - کل کسی اور چینل میں چلے جایں گے - عمران خان پر بھونکنے لگیں گے
    چلیں، آپکے تایا جی کی خبر لگوا دیتے ہیں۔۔۔
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  7. #7

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    یہ کچھ تو اسامہ بن لادن کے بارے میں امریکی سی این این نے بھی کھ تھیں
    جبکہ وہ ساٹھ سال سے اوپر کا مریض بوڑھا - اپنے ساتھ بیویاں لے کر رہتا تھا


    Originally Posted by 3rd_Umpire View Post
    چلیں، آپکے تایا جی کی خبر لگوا دیتے ہیں۔۔۔
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  8. #8

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    The only secret and reason behind sharifs' success is that they are shameless conscienceless pimps, like sharif senior (mian sharif), who used to supply to high officials. Senior's grand father used to work in red light area of jati umra (India) selling gajras.
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  9. #9

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Originally Posted by Talwar Gujjar View Post
    Sab galat, Geo k baad ab Nawa-e-Waqt k boycott k waqt ha, Pteecher Khan ne pichlay char saloon mein itnay talway chatay hein k ab tau jeetna os k haq ban gia ha, kal h tau survey hua k voh number one popular leader ha, election agar haar b gia tau kia, haq tau usi k ha k voh jitna chahey pteecherian karey!!!
    نمبر ون پاپولر ہونے سے کچھ نہیں ہوتا دیکھنا یہ ہے ک اسٹیبلشمنٹ والے کس کو لانا چاہتے ہیں
    پی ٹی آئ ووٹ سٹہتر لاکھ اور سیٹس ٢٨
    نون لیگ ووٹ ایک کروڑ اتھتالیس لاکھ اور سیٹس ١٨٨
    ہونا تو یہ چاہئیے یا تو پی ٹی آئ کی سیٹس ٩٤ ہوتی یا نون لیگ کی ٥٦
    کہاں گئی ووٹ کی مقبولیت ؟
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  10. #10

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Har urooj ko zawal ha or is ka zawal shru ho chuka ha....

    Just wait and see.
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  11. #11

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    غرور کا سر نیچا ہوتا ہے
    تم سے پہلے وہ جو اک شخص یہاں تخت نشیں تھا
    اسکو بھی اپنے خدا ہونے پہ اتنا ہی یقیں تھا
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  12. #12

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    فکر نا کر .... نواز اپنی ہی نہیں پوری ننگی لیگ کی "اجتمائی قبر " کھودے بیٹھا ہے

    اب فقط مٹی ڈالنے اور تدفین کروانے کے لیے .... مناسب موقع کا منتظر ہے
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  13. #13

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    یار کمال ہی ہو گیا ہے - تم لوگوں میں سے کسی نے ابھی تک دھاندھلی کو اصل وجہ نہیں بتایا
    کچھ سیریسلی خراب ہوا ہوا ہے تم لوگوں کے ساتھ - مجھے فکر ہونے لگی ہے اللہ خیر کرے ؟؟؟

    Originally Posted by Pakistan2017 View Post
    نمبر ون پاپولر ہونے سے کچھ نہیں ہوتا دیکھنا یہ ہے ک اسٹیبلشمنٹ والے کس کو لانا چاہتے ہیں
    پی ٹی آئ ووٹ سٹہتر لاکھ اور سیٹس ٢٨
    نون لیگ ووٹ ایک کروڑ اتھتالیس لاکھ اور سیٹس ١٨٨
    ہونا تو یہ چاہئیے یا تو پی ٹی آئ کی سیٹس ٩٤ ہوتی یا نون لیگ کی ٥٦
    کہاں گئی ووٹ کی مقبولیت ؟
    Originally Posted by Saqi99 View Post
    Har urooj ko zawal ha or is ka zawal shru ho chuka ha....

    Just wait and see.
    Originally Posted by akmal1 View Post
    غرور کا سر نیچا ہوتا ہے
    تم سے پہلے وہ جو اک شخص یہاں تخت نشیں تھا
    اسکو بھی اپنے خدا ہونے پہ اتنا ہی یقیں تھا
    Originally Posted by WatanDost View Post
    فکر نا کر .... نواز اپنی ہی نہیں پوری ننگی لیگ کی "اجتمائی قبر " کھودے بیٹھا ہے

    اب فقط مٹی ڈالنے اور تدفین کروانے کے لیے .... مناسب موقع کا منتظر ہے
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  14. #14

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Originally Posted by Rajarawal111 View Post
    یار کمال ہی ہو گیا ہے - تم لوگوں میں سے کسی نے ابھی تک دھاندھلی کو اصل وجہ نہیں بتایا
    کچھ سیریسلی خراب ہوا ہوا ہے تم لوگوں کے ساتھ - مجھے فکر ہونے لگی ہے اللہ خیر کرے ؟؟؟
    رسیدیں لبو ..... نئی تے دھاندھلی جوگے وی نہیں رہو گے

    کھدڑے ویا جوگے نئی ہوندے
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  15. #15

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    کیا ؟؟؟ اوے ادھر مقدمے چل رہے ہیں رسیداں نہ کڈ نے کی وجہ سے تم ابھی بھی رسیدیں مانگ رہے ہو
    سوٹا لگایا ہوا ہے نا آج ؟؟؟

    Originally Posted by WatanDost View Post
    رسیدیں لبو ..... نئی تے دھاندھلی جوگے وی نہیں رہو گے

    کھدڑے ویا جوگے نئی ہوندے
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  16. #16

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Originally Posted by Rajarawal111 View Post
    کیا ؟؟؟ اوے ادھر مقدمے چل رہے ہیں رسیداں نہ کڈ نے کی وجہ سے تم ابھی بھی رسیدیں مانگ رہے ہو
    سوٹا لگایا ہوا ہے نا آج ؟؟؟
    دائمی سوٹا جو تم لوگوں نے لگا رکھا ہے ... اس سے باہر نکلو گے تو بات سمجھ میں اے گی نا

    کھڈرے ... چلا رہے ہیں "مجھے کیوں نکالا "... آپریشن کے بعد ... دوبارہ نہیں لگتا ... وہ بھی گلا

    سڑا ہوا

    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  17. #17

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Originally Posted by Rajarawal111 View Post
    یار کمال ہی ہو گیا ہے - تم لوگوں میں سے کسی نے ابھی تک دھاندھلی کو اصل وجہ نہیں بتایا
    کچھ سیریسلی خراب ہوا ہوا ہے تم لوگوں کے ساتھ - مجھے فکر ہونے لگی ہے اللہ خیر کرے ؟؟؟

    راجہ صاحب فکر نہ کریں. آپ کا یہی غرور آپ کو لے ڈوبے گا. فرعون اگر اپنی فرعونیت تسلیم کر لے تو وہ فرعون کیسے رہے گا. نواز شریف کے کیس سے پہلے بھی آپ کی یہی بڑھکیں ہم سن چکے ہیں
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  18. #18

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    punjabis are not sensible at all ... they are arrogant and ignorant... yeah apni baradriyon kai gulam hai ... yeah ek aise makhlloooq hai jiss ka taleem bhi kuch nahi beegar saki hai abhi taq.. aur mazak uratay hai pathano ka .. khota khor .... pathano ka tribal system is much more integrated and strong compare to punjabi's but when it comes to voting no one gives a **** about his association with the tribes ........ they evaluate the performance ... I have personal experienced in both scenarios.
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  19. #19

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Originally Posted by Pakistan2017 View Post
    نمبر ون پاپولر ہونے سے کچھ نہیں ہوتا دیکھنا یہ ہے ک اسٹیبلشمنٹ والے کس کو لانا چاہتے ہیں
    پی ٹی آئ ووٹ سٹہتر لاکھ اور سیٹس ٢٨
    نون لیگ ووٹ ایک کروڑ اتھتالیس لاکھ اور سیٹس ١٨٨
    ہونا تو یہ چاہئیے یا تو پی ٹی آئ کی سیٹس ٩٤ ہوتی یا نون لیگ کی ٥٦
    کہاں گئی ووٹ کی مقبولیت ؟
    Lagta ha Pteecher Party k reformed mathematics perh k dropout huey ho, election jeetnay k liey ek constituency mein muxalif se sirf ek vote ziada lena hota ha!!!
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

  20. #20

    Re: The secret behind Sharif's electoral success and popularity

    Why this writter did not enlightned us the secrets of winning of Zardari in Sindh and MQM of Karachi?
    Or how much pennies he required to write this stuff up?

    It took some time for PTI to come as number one in KPK and number two in Punjab. It is now striking distance to give fatal blow and we are very hopeful.
    Quick reply to this message Reply  

Quick Reply


Similar Threads

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •